SimpleFunctions
PolymarketJun 30, 202652 days left

Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?

This contract is priced at 40¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 39¢ bid, 42¢ ask, 3¢ spread.

Implied probability

40¢
$643K volume
$32K liquidity
56% of event volume

Event outcomes

5

Family volume

$1.2M

Best sibling

Donald Trump 5¢

Ticker

0x7e5228c4…d1a8

Market snapshot

J.D. Vance in market context.

This page tracks the Polymarket contract for Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?. The displayed quote is 40¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports 24h volume of $1K. In the Who will attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting? family, this outcome ranks #3 of 5 by current quote across 5 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 5:53 AM UTC.

Outcome

J.D. Vance

Family rank

#3 of 5

Venue

Polymarket

Current quote

40¢

Quote source

Latest venue quote

Timing

Listed until Jun 30, 2026

24h volume

$1K

Family context

5 outcomes · Who will attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?

Quote range

5¢-72¢

Family leader

Steve Witkoff 72¢

Last updated

May 9, 2026, 5:53 AM UTC · 6m ago

Venue identifier: 0x7e5228c4aa228752fb75ec1ffcb315a5f2fef812d746ceb6601cee285366d1a8. Family volume: $1.2M.

Price history

40¢ current

+1¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
May 7, 2026May 9, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

39 / 42¢

Polymarket
3¢ spread
BidSize
39¢40
39¢200
39¢20
39¢81
37¢200
36¢385
36¢460
36¢246
AskSize
42¢200
42¢90
43¢271
43¢758
43¢10
43¢160
45¢180
45¢200

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends the next diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify. Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not qualify as diplomatic meetings. The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count. Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating in negotiations at the meeting. If the next diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Venue

Polymarket

Closes

Jun 30, 2026

Identifier

0x7e5228c4…d1a8

Event family

Who will attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting.

This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.

Total volume

$1.2M

Outcomes

5

Highest price

Steve Witkoff 72¢

Current share

56%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

1057.9%

IY (No)

470.2%

Adj IY

1005%

CRI

2

RV

299%

VR

0.89

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

1057.9%
470.2%
Adj IY
1005%
2
RV
299%
VR
0.89
IAR
1.5/h
Overround
0.9%
LAS
0.05

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