SimpleFunctions
PolymarketJun 30, 202652 days left

Will Donald Trump attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?

This contract is priced at 5¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 4¢ bid, 6¢ ask, 2¢ spread.

Implied probability

5¢
$211K volume
$18K liquidity
18% of event volume

Event outcomes

5

Family volume

$1.2M

Best sibling

J.D. Vance 41¢

Ticker

0xbdb17bc4…3d86

Market snapshot

Donald Trump in market context.

This page tracks the Polymarket contract for Will Donald Trump attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?. The displayed quote is 5¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports 24h volume of $110. In the Who will attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting? family, this outcome ranks #5 of 5 by current quote across 5 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 8:23 AM UTC.

Outcome

Donald Trump

Family rank

#5 of 5

Venue

Polymarket

Current quote

Quote source

Latest venue quote

Timing

Listed until Jun 30, 2026

24h volume

$110

Family context

5 outcomes · Who will attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?

Quote range

5¢-72¢

Family leader

Steve Witkoff 72¢

Last updated

May 9, 2026, 8:23 AM UTC · 3m ago

Venue identifier: 0xbdb17bc42314c7879e6bde4a15136a9a0f16605f6e530462b9dad774d1e63d86. Family volume: $1.2M.

Price history

5¢ current

1¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
May 8, 2026May 8, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

4 / 6¢

Polymarket
2¢ spread
BidSize
4¢50
4¢296
3¢8
3¢3.4K
3¢600
3¢377
3¢9
2¢970
AskSize
6¢27
6¢60
8¢45
8¢100
9¢200
10¢100
11¢600
12¢25

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends the next diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify. Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not qualify as diplomatic meetings. The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count. Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating in negotiations at the meeting. If the next diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Venue

Polymarket

Closes

Jun 30, 2026

Identifier

0xbdb17bc4…3d86

Event family

Who will attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting.

This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.

Total volume

$1.2M

Outcomes

5

Highest price

Steve Witkoff 72¢

Current share

18%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

13426.9%

IY (No)

37.2%

Adj IY

8056%

CRI

19

RV

3619%

VR

3.43

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

13426.9%
37.2%
Adj IY
8056%
19
RV
3619%
VR
3.43
IAR
3.8/h
Overround
0.9%
LAS
0.40

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