Will John Stanton buy the Seattle Seahawks?

This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero 24-hour volume despite $53.9k open interest and a massive 67¢ bid-ask spread, suggesting the 36¢ price may not reflect true market consensus. The 495% implied yield on the "Yes" side is extraordinarily high relative to the 143-day timeframe, indicating either severe mispricing or that traders are pricing in substantial tail risk that a Stanton acquisition announcement is unlikely. The 3005% realized volatility and 14.41 vol ratio suggest this market has experienced dramatic historical swings, making current price discovery unreliable without fresh trading activity.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to the named individual who is publicly announced as having agreed to purchase the Seattle Seahawks by September 9, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET (the beginning of the 2026 NFL regular season). If no sale is announced before this time, this market will resolve to "Other". For the purposes of this market, an announcement must confirm that the Paul G. Allen estate (also known as Vulcan LLC) has reached a binding agreement to sell a majority interest in the team. Minority sales will not be considered. If a sale is announced to an individual that is not listed, this market will resolve to “Other”. If two or more listed individuals are announced as joint owners or part of the same ownership group, this market will resolve to the individual announced as the controlling owner. If two or more listed individuals are announced as the controlling owners, this market will resolve to the individual whose last name comes first alphabetically. For the purposes of this market, the completion (closing) of the sale is not required. The primary resolution source will be official statements from the National Football League or the Seattle Seahawks. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Indicators

Regime

Trade