Will Los Angeles Thieves finish in the top 4 of the CDL Regular Season?

Prediction markets currently give a 48% probability that Will Los Angeles Thieves finish in the top 4 of the CDL Regular Season?. This contract trades at 48¢ on Polymarket, closing June 28, 2026. This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero 24-hour volume and only $2.696 in open interest, paired with an unusually wide 95¢ spread that inflates the implied yields to 548.6% (Yes) and 506.5% (No)—these yields are artifacts of thin order books rather than genuine opportunities.

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48¢
Bid/Ask 1/95¢·Spread 94¢·Vol $0·OI $5.07·Closes Jun 28, 2026·67d remaining
0xe273314ec70ccaa216c30e3ef35c919c6c9ce7afcd05f1925d662bc3685ae3f0
7-day price388 snapshots · 5 regime
69¢49¢ current
Apr 837¢Apr 22

Analysis

2d ago

This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero 24-hour volume and only $2.696 in open interest, paired with an unusually wide 95¢ spread that inflates the implied yields to 548.6% (Yes) and 506.5% (No)—these yields are artifacts of thin order books rather than genuine opportunities. The 49¢ price reflects genuine uncertainty about the Thieves' playoff positioning, with high realized volatility (163%) suggesting significant price swings despite minimal trading activity. With 69 days to expiry and an info arrival rate of 0.7/h, this market lacks sufficient depth for confident positioning and would require substantial capital to move prices meaningfully.

Resolution rules

This is a market to predict which teams finish in the top 4 of the Call of Duty League Regular Season standings for the 2025–26 season. If the listed team officially finishes in the top 4 of the Call of Duty League standings at the end of the season, the market will resolve to "Yes." Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If two or more teams are tied on points for a top 4 position, resolution will follow the official Call of Duty League tiebreaking procedures. If the 2025–26 Call of Duty League season is canceled or not completed before October 1, 2026, this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source will be official information from the Call of Duty League (https://www.callofdutyleague.com/en-us/standings?utm_source=cdlweb&utm_medium=navigationbar&utm_campaign=general). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 380.9%
IY (No) 788.7%
Adj IY 789%
CRI 1
RV 5655%
VR 23.79
▶ Full indicator table (8)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)380.9%
IY (No)788.7%
Adj IY789%
CRI1
RV5655%
VR23.79
IAR6.8/h
Overround2.9%

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.5
Spread
94¢
Computed
4/22/2026, 9:48:15 AM
Indicators computed 4/22/2026, 9:38:24 AM

Trade

View on polymarketsf trade 0xe273314ec70ccaa216c30e3ef35c919c6c9ce7afcd05f1925d662bc3685ae3f0 yes 100

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