SimpleFunctions
KalshiJun 17, 202645 days left

Who will dissent at the June 2026 FOMC meeting?

This contract is priced at 18¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 17¢ bid, 18¢ ask, 1¢ spread.

Implied probability

18¢
$42K volume
$22K liquidity
667% of event volume

Event outcomes

13

Family volume

$6K

Best sibling

Jerome Powell 6¢

Ticker

KXFEDDISSENT-26JUN-STEP

Price history

18¢ current

55¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
Apr 29, 2026May 3, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

17 / 18¢

Kalshi
1¢ spread
BidSize
17¢738
16¢2.1K
15¢2.0K
14¢7
13¢21
AskSize
18¢993
19¢1.8K
20¢683
22¢3
23¢3

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

If Stephen Miran formally dissented at the June 2026 FOMC meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jun 17, 2026

Identifier

KXFEDDISSENT-26JUN-STEP

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

3950.6%

IY (No)

165.7%

Adj IY

1859%

CRI

5

Overround

0.6%

LAS

0.06

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

3950.6%
165.7%
Adj IY
1859%
5
Overround
0.6%
LAS
0.06

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