Will David Sacks leave the Trump administration before 2027?

Prediction markets currently give a 33% probability that Will David Sacks leave the Trump administration before 2027?. This contract trades at 33¢ on Polymarket, closing December 31, 2026.

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33¢
Bid/Ask 27/39¢·Spread 12¢·Vol $10·OI $16,183.912·Closes Dec 31, 2026·245d remaining
0x41e7c27975bd53fe08a5ab30960934bfea92b60b88f56ee9d9b42b8b0c97d98d
7-day price1059 snapshots · 10 regime
50¢33¢ current
Apr 823¢Apr 29

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is announced that that the listed individual will leave the Trump Administration, or otherwise ceases to be a member of administration by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of the listed individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The Trump administration includes individuals formally appointed by Donald Trump to roles within the U.S. federal government, such as Cabinet members, Executive Office staff, senior policy advisors, ambassadors, or White House staff whose appointments are publicly announced by official government channels. The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 302.1%
IY (No) 73.3%
Adj IY 151%
CRI 2
Overround 5.4%
▶ Full indicator table (5)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)302.1%
IY (No)73.3%
Adj IY151%
CRI2
Overround5.4%

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.5
Spread
12¢
Computed
4/29/2026, 4:32:56 PM
Observability mediumEvent type political
Indicators computed 4/29/2026, 4:23:26 PM

Trade

View on polymarketsf trade 0x41e7c27975bd53fe08a5ab30960934bfea92b60b88f56ee9d9b42b8b0c97d98d yes 100

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