Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?
Prediction markets currently give a 73% probability that Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?. This contract trades at 73¢ on Polymarket, closing December 31, 2026.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is announced that that the listed individual will leave the Trump Administration, or otherwise ceases to be a member of administration by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of the listed individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The Trump administration includes individuals formally appointed by Donald Trump to roles within the U.S. federal government, such as Cabinet members, Executive Office staff, senior policy advisors, ambassadors, or White House staff whose appointments are publicly announced by official government channels. The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.
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Regime
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sf trade 0xde2be5c360bafeb33cc43bd0a49368ed89371daca90e1cc6da8bf7f93d5bbadf yes 100