Will Lee Zeldin leave the Trump administration before 2027?

Prediction markets currently give a 43% probability that Will Lee Zeldin leave the Trump administration before 2027?. This contract trades at 43¢ on Polymarket, closing December 31, 2026.

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43¢
Bid/Ask 39/47¢·Spread 8¢·Vol $3.571·OI $12,677.598·Closes Dec 31, 2026·245d remaining
0xa9eb387628150ecc2ee19613ae55dc26f7e9e6a24b31ccecdcdae43c7824d2d3
7-day price1232 snapshots · 8 regime
50¢37¢ current
Apr 828¢Apr 29

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is announced that that the listed individual will leave the Trump Administration, or otherwise ceases to be a member of administration by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of the listed individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The Trump administration includes individuals formally appointed by Donald Trump to roles within the U.S. federal government, such as Cabinet members, Executive Office staff, senior policy advisors, ambassadors, or White House staff whose appointments are publicly announced by official government channels. The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 253.3%
IY (No) 87.4%
Adj IY 127%
CRI 2
Overround 5.4%
▶ Full indicator table (5)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)253.3%
IY (No)87.4%
Adj IY127%
CRI2
Overround5.4%

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.409
Spread
8¢
Computed
4/29/2026, 4:31:47 PM
Observability mediumEvent type political
Indicators computed 4/29/2026, 4:23:26 PM

Trade

View on polymarketsf trade 0xa9eb387628150ecc2ee19613ae55dc26f7e9e6a24b31ccecdcdae43c7824d2d3 yes 100

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