Will Tom Homan leave the Trump administration before 2027?
Prediction markets currently give a 24% probability that Will Tom Homan leave the Trump administration before 2027?. This contract trades at 24¢ on Polymarket, closing December 31, 2026.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is announced that that the listed individual will leave the Trump Administration, or otherwise ceases to be a member of administration by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of the listed individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The Trump administration includes individuals formally appointed by Donald Trump to roles within the U.S. federal government, such as Cabinet members, Executive Office staff, senior policy advisors, ambassadors, or White House staff whose appointments are publicly announced by official government channels. The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.
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Regime
Trade
sf trade 0xaaf71e9c0dd6115c5e981eb0d3c7a9136d3f527402fde1561441fa9e392d1127 yes 100