SimpleFunctions
PolymarketJun 2, 2026

Will Connie Chan receive the most votes in the CA-11 primary?

This contract is priced at 1¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 1¢ bid, 1¢ ask, 0¢ spread.

Implied probability

1¢
$205K volume
$7K liquidity
58% of event volume

Event outcomes

7

Family volume

$353K

Best sibling

Jingchao Xiong 0¢

Ticker

0xb92bb81b…eda0

Market snapshot

Connie Chan in market context.

This page tracks the Polymarket contract for Will Connie Chan receive the most votes in the CA-11 primary?. The displayed quote is 1¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports 24h volume of $27. In the Who will place first in the primary for Nancy Pelosi’s congressional seat (CA-11)? family, this outcome ranks #3 of 7 by current quote across 7 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 8:23 AM UTC.

Outcome

Connie Chan

Family rank

#3 of 7

Venue

Polymarket

Current quote

Quote source

Latest venue quote

Timing

Listed until Jun 2, 2026

24h volume

$27

Family context

7 outcomes · Who will place first in the primary for Nancy Pelosi’s congressional seat (CA-11)?

Quote range

0¢-84¢

Family leader

Scott Wiener 84¢

Last updated

May 9, 2026, 8:23 AM UTC · 0m ago

Venue identifier: 0xb92bb81b6ddef26d3100275bbb9497167bc56f862c9f7b4dd47399602712eda0. Family volume: $353K.

Price history

1¢ current

2¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
Apr 11, 2026May 6, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

1 / 1¢

Polymarket
0¢ spread
BidSize
100¢404
0¢54K
0¢1.3K
AskSize
2¢200
2¢131
4¢14
5¢302
5¢30
7¢20
100¢131
100¢566

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most votes in the primary, regardless of party, to contest the seat for California's 11th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The California primary is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Venue

Polymarket

Closes

Jun 2, 2026

Identifier

0xb92bb81b…eda0

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

Regime

neutral

Score

0.409

Observability

medium

Event type

political

Related readings

Matched from SimpleFunctions blog, opinions, technical guides, concepts, and learn pages.

Browse library
Blogpolitics

US Midterm Elections 2026 Prediction Markets: Trading the Battle for Congress

A deep‑dive guide for prediction market traders on the 2026 US midterm elections: House and Senate control odds, key races, Trump’s impact, economic and approval scenarios, polling accuracy, and data‑driven trading strategies.

Opinionanalysis

Liquidity Availability Is the Real Edge in Prediction Markets

Implied yield, cliff risk, and overround all describe what to trade. Liquidity Availability Score describes whether the orderbook can absorb the trade. Why LAS is the indicator that decides who actually books P&L.

Conceptmethodology

Resolution Risk Premium: Pricing the Rule, Not the Outcome

When the resolution rule is fuzzy, the price is the market's estimate of how the rule will be interpreted, not the outcome's probability. Three case studies and the discount math.

Blogmarkets

Kalshi vs Polymarket: Which Prediction Market Should You Trade?

In-depth comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket for prediction market traders. Regulatory structure, liquidity, fees, API tooling, and cross-venue trading with SimpleFunctions.

Opinioncomparison

Kalshi vs Polymarket: Mechanics, Fees, Regulation, Liquidity (2026)

Side-by-side comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket in 2026. Fee math, calibration data, withdrawal speed, and a decision tree for picking the right venue.

Conceptmethodology

Maker / Taker Regime in Prediction Markets: How to Read the Orderbook State

Three regime states (maker-dominated, taker-dominated, neutral) and how to read which one a Kalshi or Polymarket contract is in. Strategy follows regime, not thesis.

SimpleFunctions context

Index, screen, query, and monitor.

Open index