SimpleFunctions
PolymarketJun 30, 2027417 days left

Will Sabrina Carpenter be one of Taylor Swift's bridesmaids?

This contract is priced at 19¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 4¢ bid, 34¢ ask, 30¢ spread.

Implied probability

19¢
$4 volume
$248 liquidity
0% of event volume

Event outcomes

7

Family volume

$920

Best sibling

Selena Gomez 68¢

Ticker

0x56e6dd79…1a0a

Market snapshot

Sabrina Carpenter in market context.

This page tracks the Polymarket contract for Will Sabrina Carpenter be one of Taylor Swift's bridesmaids?. The displayed quote is 19¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports reported volume of $4. In the Who will Taylor Swift's bridesmaids be? family, this outcome ranks #7 of 7 by current quote across 7 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 5:08 AM UTC.

Outcome

Sabrina Carpenter

Family rank

#7 of 7

Venue

Polymarket

Current quote

19¢

Quote source

Latest venue quote

Timing

Listed until Jun 30, 2027

Reported volume

$4

Family context

7 outcomes · Who will Taylor Swift's bridesmaids be?

Quote range

19¢-68¢

Family leader

Selena Gomez 68¢

Last updated

May 9, 2026, 5:08 AM UTC · 6m ago

Venue identifier: 0x56e6dd798622d89f00475164f3a1075a661fe46396a5ac7ed39fddfcb34e1a0a. Family volume: $920.

Price history

19¢ current

5¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
Apr 25, 2026May 8, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

4 / 34¢

Polymarket
30¢ spread
BidSize
100¢69
4¢8
3¢28
AskSize
34¢200
45¢200
82¢5
95¢20
98¢100
99¢10

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is announced to be a bridesmaid at Taylor Swift's wedding to Travis Kelce. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Taylor Swift's engagement to Travis Kelce is called off, cancelled, or otherwise broken according to official statements from either party or their legal or social media representatives or a consensus of credible reporting, this market will resolve to "No". If no wedding between Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce occurs by June 30, 2027, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve according to announcements or statements from Taylor Swift, Travis Kelce, the listed individual, or their legal or social media representatives. If no qualifying announcements or statements are made, this market will resolve according to video or photos of the wedding or a consensus of credible reporting. This market will resolve immediately upon a qualifying announcement. Any later revisions or revocations of bridesmaid status will not be considered.

Venue

Polymarket

Closes

Jun 30, 2027

Identifier

0x56e6dd79…1a0a

Cross-venue match

Similar contract on kalshi at 25¢, -6¢ versus this page.

View counterpart

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

373.3%

IY (No)

20.5%

Adj IY

373%

CRI

4

RV

1016%

VR

5.45

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

373.3%
20.5%
Adj IY
373%
4
RV
1016%
VR
5.45
IAR
2.7/h
Overround
2.2%

Odds pages

Related prediction questions

Browse odds

Related readings

Matched from SimpleFunctions blog, opinions, technical guides, concepts, and learn pages.

Browse library
Conceptmethodology

Maker / Taker Regime in Prediction Markets: How to Read the Orderbook State

Three regime states (maker-dominated, taker-dominated, neutral) and how to read which one a Kalshi or Polymarket contract is in. Strategy follows regime, not thesis.

Opinionanalysis

Liquidity Availability Is the Real Edge in Prediction Markets

Implied yield, cliff risk, and overround all describe what to trade. Liquidity Availability Score describes whether the orderbook can absorb the trade. Why LAS is the indicator that decides who actually books P&L.

Opinionanalysis

Implied Yield vs Raw Probability: Why Bond-Adjacent Prediction Markets Need a Different Lens

Why fixed-income-adjacent prediction-market contracts need to be priced in implied yield, not raw probability, with two real Kalshi Fed-decision contracts as a case study.

Blogmarkets

Kalshi vs Polymarket: Which Prediction Market Should You Trade?

In-depth comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket for prediction market traders. Regulatory structure, liquidity, fees, API tooling, and cross-venue trading with SimpleFunctions.

Blogmarkets

Prediction Market Orderbook Analysis: Reading Depth, Spread, and Liquidity

How to read prediction market orderbooks. Binary settlement, spread-as-percentage, depth asymmetry, executable edge calculation, and cross-venue arbitrage analysis.

Technicalguide

Kalshi vs Polymarket: A Developer's Comparison of APIs, Orderbooks, and Liquidity

Data-driven comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket APIs, orderbooks, rate limits, and liquidity. Code examples for building on both prediction markets.

SimpleFunctions context

Index, screen, query, and monitor.

Open index