Ted Cruz · Who will Trump announce as next Attorney General by June 30
Ted Cruz is priced at 1¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 0¢ bid, 1¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #4 of 13 inside Who will Trump announce as next Attorney General by June 30?.
Price history
1¢ current
−49¢Contract brief
This market will resolve according to the first individual Donald Trump announces as his pick to be United States Attorney General. An announcement from Donald Trump or the Trump administration stating their intent to nominate a specific individual for United States Attorney General will suffice to resolve this market, regardless of whether a formal nomination actually occurs. Qualifying announcements must explicitly present the relevant individual as the nominee or future nominee for Attorney General. Announcements of acting or interim appointments, or announcements which merely reveal potential candidates, will not qualify. Media reports, speculation, or other unofficial information will not qualify. A formal presidential nomination of an individual to be United States Attorney General will also suffice to resolve this market. Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate. If Donald Trump does not announce his pick for the next United States Attorney General by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No announcement by June 30". The resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump and the Trump Administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Outcome
Ted Cruz
Rank
#4 of 13
Leader
No Announcement by June 30 66¢
Range
0¢-66¢
Family volume
$888K
Identifier
0x02a6e004...7fee
May 27, 2026, 2:45 PM UTC · 0m ago
Implied probability
Bid
0¢
Ask
1¢
Spread
1¢
24h volume
$194
Family rank
#4 of 13
13 outcomes · Who will Trump announce as next Attorney General by June 30?
Closes
Jun 30, 2026
Family volume
$888K
Orderbook snapshot
0 / 1¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
This market will resolve according to the first individual Donald Trump announces as his pick to be United States Attorney General. An announcement from Donald Trump or the Trump administration stating their intent to nominate a specific individual for United States Attorney General will suffice to resolve this market, regardless of whether a formal nomination actually occurs. Qualifying announcements must explicitly present the relevant individual as the nominee or future nominee for Attorney General. Announcements of acting or interim appointments, or announcements which merely reveal potential candidates, will not qualify. Media reports, speculation, or other unofficial information will not qualify. A formal presidential nomination of an individual to be United States Attorney General will also suffice to resolve this market. Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate. If Donald Trump does not announce his pick for the next United States Attorney General by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No announcement by June 30". The resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump and the Trump Administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Venue
Polymarket
Closes
Jun 30, 2026
Identifier
0x02a6e004…7fee
Event family
Who will Trump announce as next Attorney General by June 30.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$888K
Outcomes
13
Highest price
No Announcement by June 30 66¢
Current share
4%
No Announcement by June 30
polymarket · 0xc3fdb556a123e6545f0ac61ce6ce04793ea18ba83d5305596fac858ff8b9aa63
Lee Zeldin
polymarket · 0x9157c83fc048cf87d5c5d982477d248f3b38e94616fa93ea653ed4c97caae33a
Todd Blanche
polymarket · 0x788c96ce70ff9d8b3a78b4443d5107429d69a658ec956b1db45689771b54c329
Jeanine Pirro
polymarket · 0x17830414fdfe2ac9d11eda8c7e9cce22bac568b3c80684927e0a91649e51a4af
Matt Gaetz
polymarket · 0x5135c1c02d5c9f3015e75a0c44eaed7906db91a5537dbf4bae2a2b131289b771
Ted Cruz
polymarket · 0x02a6e004f25816af748a8a047815397d39e391ab8e9ab255541b24b39d017fee
Ken Paxton
polymarket · 0x1ddbcffcccc0c7368f1ada455a8238041d6f9c3c1d3e4d1c2031b59cbc99dd64
Mike Lee
polymarket · 0x653201afe98bb670f4b723a50c7fb4e4f0a807e78880385ad56567d777401ded
Ron DeSantis
polymarket · 0xf14b5367028549f930b0db0f4efc22a5d8611a3518e98e52dae23679dd394d69
Jay Clayton
polymarket · 0xaa42b41c17787b8a5cd774854719439fbc70d46d81d9d089e48f81f8b340292a
Harmeet Dhillon
polymarket · 0x0f0f98af5e535e0e02ad10c7f72ce887ce8fdc8f8a4461fcf106530099be08e0
Eric Schmitt
polymarket · 0x859ce213e5f5606d1da6c709a9aad9372ba0ece9bc8a95a7c044400161c49920
Jeff Clark
polymarket · 0xfe84318189134c3c1a9620e1fa667b7494d9d6b5e6124ff9331f9100457ce06c
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.