SimpleFunctions
PolymarketJun 30, 202657 days left

Will Donald Trump announce Todd Blanche as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?

This contract is priced at 25¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 22¢ bid, 25¢ ask, 3¢ spread.

Implied probability

25¢
$89K volume
$19K liquidity
14% of event volume

Event outcomes

13

Family volume

$616K

Best sibling

Lee Zeldin 11¢

Ticker

0x788c96ce…c329

Price history

25¢ current

18¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
Apr 25, 2026May 3, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

22 / 25¢

Polymarket
3¢ spread
BidSize
22¢1.3K
21¢282
20¢100
19¢10
16¢10
13¢25
11¢393
10¢5
AskSize
25¢19
26¢1.4K
28¢18
29¢28
32¢10
35¢10
37¢387
39¢30

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the first individual Donald Trump announces as his pick to be United States Attorney General. An announcement from Donald Trump or the Trump administration stating their intent to nominate a specific individual for United States Attorney General will suffice to resolve this market, regardless of whether a formal nomination actually occurs. Qualifying announcements must explicitly present the relevant individual as the nominee or future nominee for Attorney General. Announcements of acting or interim appointments, or announcements which merely reveal potential candidates, will not qualify. Media reports, speculation, or other unofficial information will not qualify. A formal presidential nomination of an individual to be United States Attorney General will also suffice to resolve this market. Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate. If Donald Trump does not announce his pick for the next United States Attorney General by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No announcement by June 30". The resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump and the Trump Administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Venue

Polymarket

Closes

Jun 30, 2026

Identifier

0x788c96ce…c329

Cross-venue match

Similar contract on kalshi at 63¢, -38¢ versus this page.

View counterpart

Event family

Who will Trump announce as next Attorney General.

This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.

Total volume

$616K

Outcomes

13

Highest price

No Announcement by June 30 50¢

Current share

14%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

2012.2%

IY (No)

200.7%

Adj IY

1761%

CRI

3

RV

396%

VR

0.95

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

2012.2%
200.7%
Adj IY
1761%
3
RV
396%
VR
0.95
IAR
0.6/h
Overround
-0.1%
LAS
0.13

Odds pages

Related prediction questions

Browse odds

Related readings

Matched from SimpleFunctions blog, opinions, technical guides, concepts, and learn pages.

Browse library
Blogmarkets

Kalshi vs Polymarket: Which Prediction Market Should You Trade?

In-depth comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket for prediction market traders. Regulatory structure, liquidity, fees, API tooling, and cross-venue trading with SimpleFunctions.

Blogpolitics

US Midterm Elections 2026 Prediction Markets: Trading the Battle for Congress

A deep‑dive guide for prediction market traders on the 2026 US midterm elections: House and Senate control odds, key races, Trump’s impact, economic and approval scenarios, polling accuracy, and data‑driven trading strategies.

Conceptmethodology

Maker / Taker Regime in Prediction Markets: How to Read the Orderbook State

Three regime states (maker-dominated, taker-dominated, neutral) and how to read which one a Kalshi or Polymarket contract is in. Strategy follows regime, not thesis.

Bloggeopolitics

US Oil Sanctions on Venezuela, Iran, and Russia in 2026: How Prediction Markets Are Pricing the Next Shock

A deep-dive into US oil sanctions on Venezuela, Iran, and Russia heading into 2026—covering Trump 2.0 policy, secondary sanctions, shadow fleets, global oil balances, European energy security, India/China behavior, and how prediction markets are pricing the next shock.

Conceptmethodology

Resolution Risk Premium: Pricing the Rule, Not the Outcome

When the resolution rule is fuzzy, the price is the market's estimate of how the rule will be interpreted, not the outcome's probability. Three case studies and the discount math.

Blogcrypto

How Bitcoin & Ethereum Crypto 2026 Price Prediction Markets Are Pricing the Next Leg of the Cycle

Deep-dive for crypto investors and traders into Bitcoin and Ethereum 2026 price prediction markets. Learn how BTC/ETH halving base rates, ETF flows, DeFi/L2 growth, and global regulation shape market-implied odds for 2026 price targets.

SimpleFunctions context

Index, screen, query, and monitor.

Open index