SimpleFunctions
KalshiJun 30, 202652 days left

Who will win Hart Memorial Trophy?

This contract is priced at 15¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 9¢ bid, 14¢ ask, 5¢ spread.

Implied probability

15¢
$522K volume
$339K liquidity
6771% of event volume

Event outcomes

16

Family volume

$8K

Best sibling

Macklin Celebrini 1¢

Ticker

KXNHLHART-26-NMAC

Market snapshot

Nathan MacKinnon in market context.

This page tracks the Kalshi contract for Who will win Hart Memorial Trophy?. The displayed quote is 15¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports 24h volume of $4K. In the Who will win Hart Memorial Trophy family, this outcome ranks #3 of 16 by current quote across 16 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 8:53 AM UTC.

Outcome

Nathan MacKinnon

Family rank

#3 of 16

Venue

Kalshi

Current quote

15¢

Quote source

Latest venue quote

Timing

Listed until Jun 30, 2026

24h volume

$4K

Family context

16 outcomes · Who will win Hart Memorial Trophy

Quote range

1¢-56¢

Family leader

Connor McDavid 56¢

Last updated

May 9, 2026, 8:53 AM UTC · 10m ago

Venue identifier: KXNHLHART-26-NMAC. Family volume: $8K.

Price history

15¢ current

27¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
Apr 9, 2026May 9, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

9 / 14¢

Kalshi
5¢ spread
BidSize
100¢2.2K
9¢5
8¢45
3¢100
2¢387
AskSize
14¢12
15¢213
16¢200
17¢213
18¢198

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

If Nathan MacKinnon wins the NHL Hart Memorial Trophy in the 2025-26 NHL season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jun 30, 2026

Identifier

KXNHLHART-26-NMAC

Cross-venue match

Similar contract on polymarket at 18¢, -3¢ versus this page.

View counterpart

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

8039.2%

IY (No)

60.8%

Adj IY

2010%

CRI

12

RV

4661%

VR

4.96

Regime

neutral

Score

0.409

Observability

medium

Event type

sports

Full indicator table

8039.2%
60.8%
Adj IY
2010%
12
RV
4661%
VR
4.96
IAR
1.9/h
Overround
-0.0%
LAS
0.75

Odds pages

Related prediction questions

Browse odds

Related readings

Matched from SimpleFunctions blog, opinions, technical guides, concepts, and learn pages.

Browse library
Opinionanalysis

Liquidity Availability Is the Real Edge in Prediction Markets

Implied yield, cliff risk, and overround all describe what to trade. Liquidity Availability Score describes whether the orderbook can absorb the trade. Why LAS is the indicator that decides who actually books P&L.

Blogmarkets

Kalshi vs Polymarket: Which Prediction Market Should You Trade?

In-depth comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket for prediction market traders. Regulatory structure, liquidity, fees, API tooling, and cross-venue trading with SimpleFunctions.

Blogmarkets

Prediction Market Orderbook Analysis: Reading Depth, Spread, and Liquidity

How to read prediction market orderbooks. Binary settlement, spread-as-percentage, depth asymmetry, executable edge calculation, and cross-venue arbitrage analysis.

Technicalguide

Kalshi vs Polymarket: A Developer's Comparison of APIs, Orderbooks, and Liquidity

Data-driven comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket APIs, orderbooks, rate limits, and liquidity. Code examples for building on both prediction markets.

Opinioncomparison

Kalshi vs Polymarket: Mechanics, Fees, Regulation, Liquidity (2026)

Side-by-side comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket in 2026. Fee math, calibration data, withdrawal speed, and a decision tree for picking the right venue.

Opinionanalysis

Implied Yield vs Raw Probability: Why Bond-Adjacent Prediction Markets Need a Different Lens

Why fixed-income-adjacent prediction-market contracts need to be priced in implied yield, not raw probability, with two real Kalshi Fed-decision contracts as a case study.

SimpleFunctions context

Index, screen, query, and monitor.

Open index