What is the current probability for "Who will win Jack Adams Award?"?

This prediction market is currently priced at 4¢ (4% implied probability) on Kalshi. It closes on June 30, 2026. 67 days remaining.

What is the implied yield on "Who will win Jack Adams Award?"?

The annualized implied yield on the YES side is 13023.1% and 22.6% on the NO side. Implied yield measures the annualized return if the contract is held to expiry and resolves in your favor.

Where can I trade "Who will win Jack Adams Award?"?

This market trades on Kalshi, a US-regulated prediction market exchange. You can also analyze it with SimpleFunctions — AI-powered indicators, regime detection, and autonomous trading across both venues.

Who will win Jack Adams Award?

Name: SimpleFunctions
Author: SimpleFunctions

Prediction markets currently give a 4% probability that Who will win Jack Adams Award?. This contract trades at 4¢ on Kalshi, closing June 30, 2026. This market is severely illiquid with only $9 open interest and zero 24-hour volume, making the 4¢ price potentially unreliable.

██░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░

4¢

Bid/Ask 0/1¢·Spread 1¢·Vol $0·OI $9·Closes Jun 30, 2026·67d remaining

KXNHLADAMS-26-KKNO

Analysis

7d ago

This market is severely illiquid with only $9 open interest and zero 24-hour volume, making the 4¢ price potentially unreliable. The extreme 11,757.6% implied yield on the Yes side suggests the pricing is distorted by minimal liquidity rather than reflecting genuine probability assessment—a single small bet could move this dramatically. With 75 days to expiry and a Cliff Risk Index of 24, this market carries substantial execution risk and should be approached with caution given the negligible trading activity.

Cross-venue

Also on polymarket at —¢

View counterpart →Match confidence 0.95Close-time delta 14h

Resolution rules

If Kris Knoblauch wins the NHL Jack Adams Award in the 2025-26 NHL season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 13023.1%

IY (No) 22.6%

Adj IY 4884%

CRI 24

Overround 0.3%

LAS 0.25

▶ Full indicator table (6)

Indicator	Value	Meaning
IY (Yes)	13023.1%	Annualized return if held to expiry, YES side
IY (No)	22.6%	Annualized return, NO side
Adj IY	4884%	Risk-adjusted IY — penalizes dead markets and high friction
CRI	24	Cliff Risk Index — how fast the market approaches resolution
Overround	0.3%	Multi-outcome arb signal across the event family
LAS	0.25	Liquidity Availability Score

Regime

Label

neutral

Score

0.5

Spread

1¢

Computed

4/24/2026, 7:50:59 AM

Has orderbookIndicators computed 4/24/2026, 7:38:16 AM

Trade

View on kalshi →sf trade KXNHLADAMS-26-KKNO yes 100

Related concepts

Implied Yield →Cliff Risk Index →