SimpleFunctions
PolymarketDec 31, 2026236 days left

Will Xi Jinping purge Ding Xuexiang in 2026?

This contract is priced at 5¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 5¢ bid, 5¢ ask, 0¢ spread.

Implied probability

5¢
$13K volume
$20K liquidity
9% of event volume

Event outcomes

9

Family volume

$154K

Best sibling

Cai Qi 5¢

Ticker

0xd4e49b3f…9a8c

Market snapshot

Ding Xuexiang in market context.

This page tracks the Polymarket contract for Will Xi Jinping purge Ding Xuexiang in 2026?. The displayed quote is 5¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports reported volume of $13K. In the Who will Xi Jinping purge in 2026? family, this outcome ranks #5 of 9 by current quote across 9 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 7:23 AM UTC.

Outcome

Ding Xuexiang

Family rank

#5 of 9

Venue

Polymarket

Current quote

Quote source

Latest venue quote

Timing

Listed until Dec 31, 2026

Reported volume

$13K

Family context

9 outcomes · Who will Xi Jinping purge in 2026?

Quote range

1¢-20¢

Family leader

Dong Jun 20¢

Last updated

May 9, 2026, 7:23 AM UTC · 11m ago

Venue identifier: 0xd4e49b3f60c6702b7a1ebaa2aa0ba8ef953296f46f4d3cafb01e04b9c9999a8c. Family volume: $154K.

Price history

5¢ current

2¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
Apr 12, 2026Apr 28, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

5 / 5¢

Polymarket
0¢ spread
BidSize
5¢565
5¢230
5¢769
3¢6
3¢20
3¢125
3¢9
2¢929
AskSize
5¢654
5¢715
5¢1.3K
6¢40
6¢120
7¢105
9¢100
10¢400

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. 1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor. 2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP). Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect. A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify. The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.

Venue

Polymarket

Closes

Dec 31, 2026

Identifier

0xd4e49b3f…9a8c

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

2942.4%

IY (No)

8.2%

Adj IY

1471%

CRI

19

Overround

-0.4%

LAS

0.00

Regime

neutral

Score

0.341

Observability

low

Event type

political

Full indicator table

2942.4%
8.2%
Adj IY
1471%
19
Overround
-0.4%
LAS
0.00

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