Will Xi Jinping purge Dong Jun in 2026?
This contract is priced at 20¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 19¢ bid, 20¢ ask, 1¢ spread.
Implied probability
Event outcomes
9
Family volume
$154K
Best sibling
Cai Qi 5¢
Ticker
0x9491ede4…49f8
Market snapshot
Dong Jun in market context.
This page tracks the Polymarket contract for Will Xi Jinping purge Dong Jun in 2026?. The displayed quote is 20¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports 24h volume of $126. In the Who will Xi Jinping purge in 2026? family, this outcome ranks #1 of 9 by current quote across 9 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 5:53 AM UTC.
Outcome
Dong Jun
Family rank
#1 of 9
Venue
Polymarket
Current quote
20¢
Quote source
Latest venue quote
Timing
Listed until Dec 31, 2026
24h volume
$126
Family context
9 outcomes · Who will Xi Jinping purge in 2026?
Quote range
1¢-20¢
Family leader
Dong Jun 20¢
Last updated
May 9, 2026, 5:53 AM UTC · 6m ago
Venue identifier: 0x9491ede41573b5c58be84b8ea4940616fe78566ea403f979bb455342700149f8. Family volume: $154K.
Price history
20¢ current
+3¢Orderbook snapshot
19 / 20¢
Contract terms
Resolution, venue, and identifiers.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. 1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor. 2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP). Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect. A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify. The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.
Venue
Polymarket
Closes
Dec 31, 2026
Identifier
0x9491ede4…49f8
Event family
Who will Xi Jinping purge in 2026.
This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.
Total volume
$154K
Outcomes
9
Highest price
Dong Jun 20¢
Current share
20%
Dong Jun
polymarket · 0x9491ede41573b5c58be84b8ea4940616fe78566ea403f979bb455342700149f8
Cai Qi
polymarket · 0xb3f709495e9ac8a2ee7d563278bb452694969c6370d5dffd80fc520d8d9f54a1
Li Xi
polymarket · 0x122e768333fee2f23acb222836de2c7d7ea95ea3c206954eaa9868a30a70207e
Zhang Shengmin
polymarket · 0x18598938f75c9a0ba7c7585eba6a41c157a87408404ca2d3e2a3a97ea0497a01
Ding Xuexiang
polymarket · 0xd4e49b3f60c6702b7a1ebaa2aa0ba8ef953296f46f4d3cafb01e04b9c9999a8c
Wang Yi
polymarket · 0x16a2b3df1bf89e800eaf6951e6eed12234aa3d0e77b299523612773d34af1db2
Wang Huning
polymarket · 0x030d920e78575d28eb4c90032b4b784134fc1527b237e2275498c2d9d562dc2c
Zhao Leji
polymarket · 0x70b871e140dc7cc83f32afae2b0b79c05b5d18841b4644160f506baa66dc3962
Li Qiang
polymarket · 0x09d19209ca723f7f0e5a03c43e732f95ff38b4c6bb5a53a6d63721d4923f5f5e
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.341
Observability
low
Event type
political
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