SimpleFunctions

Will a new main Fast & Furious film be officially announced in 2026

Will a new main Fast & Furious film be officially announced in 2026 is priced at 21¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 17¢ bid, 32¢ ask, 15¢ spread. This page tracks a standalone prediction-market contract.

Price history

21¢ current

9¢
20¢30¢40¢
May 26, 2026Jun 25, 2026

Contract brief

If after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, any new main theatrical Fast & Furious film is officially announced by Universal Pictures as the next main installment in Fast & Furious, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Will a new main Fast & Furious film be officially announced in 2026

Rank

Standalone

Leader

Range

Family volume

$16K

Identifier

KXFASTANDFURIOUSRELEASE-27

Jun 26, 2026, 3:38 AM UTC · 21m ago

Implied probability

21¢
Latest venue quote
Jun 26, 2026, 3:38 AM UTC · 21m ago

Bid

17¢

Ask

32¢

Spread

15¢

24h volume

$507

Family rank

Standalone

Standalone contract

Closes

Jan 1, 2027

Family volume

$16K

Orderbook snapshot

17 / 32¢

Kalshi
15¢ spread
BidSize
17¢166
13¢100
6¢43
5¢1.1K
4¢504
AskSize
32¢4
33¢166
37¢95
38¢300
44¢56

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, any new main theatrical Fast & Furious film is officially announced by Universal Pictures as the next main installment in Fast & Furious, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jan 1, 2027

Identifier

KXFASTANDFURIOUSRELEASE-27

SF Signal
SF Index
470.27
Regime
neutral

Event family

This market.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$16K

Outcomes

1

Highest price

Will a new main Fast & Furious film be officially announced in 2026 21¢

Current share

100%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

Regime

neutral

Score

0.409

Observability

medium

Event type

cultural

Full indicator table

940.5%
39.5%
Adj IY
470%
5

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.