AOC defeats JD Vance · KXPRESOUTCOME-28NOV07
AOC defeats JD Vance is priced at 11¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 4¢ bid, 7¢ ask, 3¢ spread. This outcome ranks #5 of 16 inside KXPRESOUTCOME-28NOV07.
Price history
11¢ current
+10¢Contract brief
If Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez defeats JD Vance in the 2028 presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
AOC defeats JD Vance
Rank
#5 of 16
Leader
Gavin Newsom defeats JD Vance 15¢
Range
1¢-15¢
Family volume
$2K
Identifier
KXPRESOUTCOME-28NOV07-AOCJVAND
May 25, 2026, 9:08 AM UTC · 20m ago
Implied probability
Bid
4¢
Ask
7¢
Spread
3¢
24h volume
$2K
Family rank
#5 of 16
16 outcomes · KXPRESOUTCOME-28NOV07
Closes
Jan 20, 2029
Family volume
$2K
Orderbook snapshot
4 / 7¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez defeats JD Vance in the 2028 presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jan 20, 2029
Identifier
KXPRESOUTCOME-28NOV07-AOCJVAND
Event family
KXPRESOUTCOME-28NOV07.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$2K
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Gavin Newsom defeats JD Vance 15¢
Current share
89%
Gavin Newsom defeats JD Vance
kalshi · KXPRESOUTCOME-28NOV07-GNEWJVAND
JD Vance defeats Gavin Newsom
kalshi · KXPRESOUTCOME-28NOV07-GNEWJVANR
Gavin Newsom defeats Marco Rubio
kalshi · KXPRESOUTCOME-28NOV07-GNEWMRUBD
Marco Rubio defeats Gavin Newsom
kalshi · KXPRESOUTCOME-28NOV07-GNEWMRUBR
AOC defeats JD Vance
kalshi · KXPRESOUTCOME-28NOV07-AOCJVAND
Pete Buttigieg defeats JD Vance
kalshi · KXPRESOUTCOME-28NOV07-PBUTJVAND
Andy Beshear defeats JD Vance
kalshi · KXPRESOUTCOME-28NOV07-ABESJVAND
JD Vance defeats Andy Beshear
kalshi · KXPRESOUTCOME-28NOV07-ABESJVANR
Andy Beshear defeats Marco Rubio
kalshi · KXPRESOUTCOME-28NOV07-ABESMRUBD
Marco Rubio defeats Andy Beshear
kalshi · KXPRESOUTCOME-28NOV07-ABESMRUBR
JD Vance defeats AOC
kalshi · KXPRESOUTCOME-28NOV07-AOCJVANR
AOC defeats Marco Rubio
kalshi · KXPRESOUTCOME-28NOV07-AOCMRUBD
Marco Rubio defeats AOC
kalshi · KXPRESOUTCOME-28NOV07-AOCMRUBR
Jon Ossoff defeats JD Vance
kalshi · KXPRESOUTCOME-28NOV07-JOSSJVAND
JD Vance defeats Jon Ossoff
kalshi · KXPRESOUTCOME-28NOV07-JOSSJVANR
Jon Ossoff defeats Marco Rubio
kalshi · KXPRESOUTCOME-28NOV07-JOSSMRUBD
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
maker
Score
0.295
Observability
none
Event type
political
Full indicator table
Odds pages
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.