Will Andres Muñoz win AL Reliever of the Year?
This contract is priced at 12¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 9¢ bid, 20¢ ask, 11¢ spread.
Implied probability
Event outcomes
16
Family volume
$0
Best sibling
Cade Smith 11¢
Ticker
KXMLBALRELOTY-26-AMUN
Market snapshot
Andres Muñoz in market context.
This page tracks the Kalshi contract for Will Andres Muñoz win AL Reliever of the Year?. The displayed quote is 12¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports reported volume of $2K. In the KXMLBALRELOTY-26 family, this outcome ranks #2 of 16 by current quote across 16 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 13, 2026, 4:53 PM UTC.
Outcome
Andres Muñoz
Family rank
#2 of 16
Venue
Kalshi
Current quote
12¢
Quote source
Latest venue quote
Timing
Listed until Dec 8, 2026
Reported volume
$2K
Family context
16 outcomes · KXMLBALRELOTY-26
Quote range
1¢-11¢
Family leader
Cade Smith 11¢
Last updated
May 13, 2026, 4:53 PM UTC · 11m ago
Venue identifier: KXMLBALRELOTY-26-AMUN. Family volume: —.
Price history
12¢ current
+3¢Orderbook snapshot
9 / 20¢
Contract terms
Resolution, venue, and identifiers.
Resolution rules
If Andres Muñoz wins the Pro Baseball American League Reliever of the Year in the 2026 season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Dec 8, 2026
Identifier
KXMLBALRELOTY-26-AMUN
Event family
KXMLBALRELOTY-26.
This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.
Total volume
$0
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Cade Smith 11¢
Current share
—
Andres Muñoz
kalshi · KXMLBALRELOTY-26-AMUN
Cade Smith
kalshi · KXMLBALRELOTY-26-CSMI
Aroldis Chapman
kalshi · KXMLBALRELOTY-26-ACHA
Carlos Estevez
kalshi · KXMLBALRELOTY-26-CEST
Jeff Hoffman
kalshi · KXMLBALRELOTY-26-JHOF
Josh Hader
kalshi · KXMLBALRELOTY-26-JHAD
Ryan Helsley
kalshi · KXMLBALRELOTY-26-RHEL
David Bednar
kalshi · KXMLBALRELOTY-26-DBED
Kyle Finnegan
kalshi · KXMLBALRELOTY-26-KFIN
Kenley Jansen
kalshi · KXMLBALRELOTY-26-KJAN
Will Vest
kalshi · KXMLBALRELOTY-26-WVES
Griffin Jax
kalshi · KXMLBALRELOTY-26-GJAX
Kirby Yates
kalshi · KXMLBALRELOTY-26-KYAT
Taylor Rogers
kalshi · KXMLBALRELOTY-26-TROD
Robert Garcia
kalshi · KXMLBALRELOTY-26-RGAR
Jordan Leasure
kalshi · KXMLBALRELOTY-26-JLEA
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
Odds pages
Related prediction questions
Related readings
Matched from SimpleFunctions blog, opinions, technical guides, concepts, and learn pages.
Kalshi vs Polymarket: Mechanics, Fees, Regulation, Liquidity (2026)
Side-by-side comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket in 2026. Fee math, calibration data, withdrawal speed, and a decision tree for picking the right venue.
Kalshi vs Polymarket: Which Prediction Market Should You Trade?
In-depth comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket for prediction market traders. Regulatory structure, liquidity, fees, API tooling, and cross-venue trading with SimpleFunctions.
Prediction Market Orderbook Analysis: Reading Depth, Spread, and Liquidity
How to read prediction market orderbooks. Binary settlement, spread-as-percentage, depth asymmetry, executable edge calculation, and cross-venue arbitrage analysis.
Kalshi vs Polymarket: A Developer's Comparison of APIs, Orderbooks, and Liquidity
Data-driven comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket APIs, orderbooks, rate limits, and liquidity. Code examples for building on both prediction markets.
Liquidity Availability Is the Real Edge in Prediction Markets
Implied yield, cliff risk, and overround all describe what to trade. Liquidity Availability Score describes whether the orderbook can absorb the trade. Why LAS is the indicator that decides who actually books P&L.
Implied Yield vs Raw Probability: Why Bond-Adjacent Prediction Markets Need a Different Lens
Why fixed-income-adjacent prediction-market contracts need to be priced in implied yield, not raw probability, with two real Kalshi Fed-decision contracts as a case study.
SimpleFunctions context
Index, screen, query, and monitor.
Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
Filter adjacent contracts by volume, expiry, IY, CRI, venue, and theme.
Event Probability API
Read 12% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
Prices, orderbooks, movement, heat, and liquidity indicators across venues.
World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
Map a thesis or exposure to candidate event markets and monitoring paths.
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.