Anthony Constantino · KXNYPRIMARY-21R26
Anthony Constantino is priced at 79¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 77¢ bid, 81¢ ask, 4¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 2 inside KXNYPRIMARY-21R26.
Price history
79¢ current
+43¢Contract brief
If Anthony Constantino wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 NY-21 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Anthony Constantino
Rank
#1 of 2
Leader
Anthony Constantino 77¢
Range
15¢-77¢
Family volume
$0
Identifier
KXNYPRIMARY-21R26-ACON
May 28, 2026, 5:38 AM UTC · 7m ago
Implied probability
Bid
77¢
Ask
81¢
Spread
4¢
Reported volume
$3K
Family rank
#1 of 2
2 outcomes · KXNYPRIMARY-21R26
Closes
Jun 23, 2027
Family volume
$0
Orderbook snapshot
77 / 81¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Anthony Constantino wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 NY-21 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jun 23, 2027
Identifier
KXNYPRIMARY-21R26-ACON
Event family
KXNYPRIMARY-21R26.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$0
Outcomes
2
Highest price
Anthony Constantino 77¢
Current share
—
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.