Will Antonio Villaraigosa finish 3rd in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary?
This contract is priced at 3¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 1¢ bid, 7¢ ask, 6¢ spread.
Implied probability
Event outcomes
11
Family volume
$106
Best sibling
Xavier Becerra 11¢
Ticker
KXCAGOV3RD-26JUN02-3-AVIL
Price history
3¢ current
+1¢Orderbook snapshot
1 / 7¢
Contract terms
Resolution, venue, and identifiers.
Resolution rules
If Antonio Villaraigosa finishes in 3rd place in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jun 2, 2027
Identifier
KXCAGOV3RD-26JUN02-3-AVIL
Event family
KXCAGOV3RD-26JUN02-3.
This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.
Total volume
$106
Outcomes
11
Highest price
Tom Steyer 25¢
Current share
0%
Antonio Villaraigosa
kalshi · KXCAGOV3RD-26JUN02-3-AVIL
Xavier Becerra
kalshi · KXCAGOV3RD-26JUN02-3-XBEC
Eric Swalwell
kalshi · KXCAGOV3RD-26JUN02-3-ESWA
Tom Steyer
kalshi · KXCAGOV3RD-26JUN02-3-TSTE
Steve Hilton
kalshi · KXCAGOV3RD-26JUN02-3-SHIL
Matt Mahan
kalshi · KXCAGOV3RD-26JUN02-3-MMAH
Katie Porter
kalshi · KXCAGOV3RD-26JUN02-3-KPOR
Chad Bianco
kalshi · KXCAGOV3RD-26JUN02-3-CBIA
Ché Ahn
kalshi · KXCAGOV3RD-26JUN02-3-CAHN
Alex Padilla
kalshi · KXCAGOV3RD-26JUN02-3-APAD
Butch Ware
kalshi · KXCAGOV3RD-26JUN02-3-BWAR
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
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