500+ Foot Home Run · KXMLBSTAT-26HR500
500+ Foot Home Run is priced at 4¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 2¢ bid, 8¢ ask, 6¢ spread. This page tracks a standalone prediction-market contract.
Price history
4¢ current
−7¢Contract brief
If any hitter records a 500+ foot home run (per Statcast measurement) in any game during the 2026 Pro Baseball season (regular season and playoffs), then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
500+ Foot Home Run
Rank
Standalone
Leader
—
Range
—
Family volume
$409
Identifier
KXMLBSTAT-26HR500-AH
Sep 22, 2026, 7:38 PM UTC · 51m ago
Implied probability
Bid
2¢
Ask
8¢
Spread
6¢
24h volume
$2K
Family rank
Standalone
Standalone contract
Closes
Dec 3, 2026
Family volume
$409
Orderbook snapshot
2 / 8¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If any hitter records a 500+ foot home run (per Statcast measurement) in any game during the 2026 Pro Baseball season (regular season and playoffs), then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Dec 3, 2026
Identifier
KXMLBSTAT-26HR500-AH
Event family
KXMLBSTAT-26HR500.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$409
Outcomes
1
Highest price
500+ Foot Home Run 11¢
Current share
100%
500+ Foot Home Run
kalshi · KXMLBSTAT-26HR500-AH
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
taker
Score
0.636
Observability
direct
Event type
sports
Odds pages
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.