SimpleFunctions
KalshiOct 2, 2026

Will any member of Trump's Cabinet leave before Oct 2026?

This contract is priced at 55¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 54¢ bid, 55¢ ask, 1¢ spread.

Implied probability

55¢
$654 volume
$565 liquidity
100% of event volume

Event outcomes

1

Family volume

$654

Best sibling

Ticker

KXCABLEAVE-26MAY-26OCT

Market snapshot

Will any member of Trump's Cabinet leave before Oct 2026 in market context.

This page tracks the Kalshi contract for Will any member of Trump's Cabinet leave before Oct 2026?. The displayed quote is 55¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports 24h volume of $35. It is currently represented as a standalone prediction-market contract. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 4:24 AM UTC.

Outcome

Will any member of Trump's Cabinet leave before Oct 2026

Family rank

Venue

Kalshi

Current quote

55¢

Quote source

Latest venue quote

Timing

Listed until Oct 2, 2026

24h volume

$35

Family context

Standalone contract

Quote range

Family leader

Last updated

May 9, 2026, 4:24 AM UTC · 0m ago

Venue identifier: KXCABLEAVE-26MAY-26OCT. Family volume: $654.

Price history

55¢ current

+6¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
May 4, 2026May 5, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

54 / 55¢

Kalshi
1¢ spread
BidSize
54¢1.4K
52¢750
48¢1.0K
20¢54
19¢2.3K
AskSize
55¢1.3K
60¢380
62¢125
63¢250
96¢255

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

If any member of Trump's Cabinet leaves their office, or announces they will leave their office, from May 4, 2026 to Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Oct 2, 2026

Identifier

KXCABLEAVE-26MAY-26OCT

Event family

This market.

This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.

Total volume

$654

Outcomes

1

Highest price

Will any member of Trump's Cabinet leave before Oct 2026 55¢

Current share

100%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

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