Argentina advances further than Brazil · KXWCTEAMH2H-26BRAARG
Argentina advances further than Brazil is priced at 47¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 51¢ bid, 63¢ ask, 12¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 3 inside KXWCTEAMH2H-26BRAARG.
Price history
47¢ current
+16¢Contract brief
If Argentina advances to a further stage than Brazil in the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Argentina advances further than Brazil
Rank
#1 of 3
Leader
Argentina advances further than Brazil 49¢
Range
3¢-49¢
Family volume
$335
Identifier
KXWCTEAMH2H-26BRAARG-ARG
Jun 17, 2026, 10:38 AM UTC · 7m ago
Implied probability
Bid
51¢
Ask
63¢
Spread
12¢
24h volume
$234
Family rank
#1 of 3
3 outcomes · KXWCTEAMH2H-26BRAARG
Closes
Aug 3, 2026
Family volume
$335
Orderbook snapshot
51 / 63¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Argentina advances to a further stage than Brazil in the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Aug 3, 2026
Identifier
KXWCTEAMH2H-26BRAARG-ARG
Event family
KXWCTEAMH2H-26BRAARG.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$335
Outcomes
3
Highest price
Argentina advances further than Brazil 49¢
Current share
70%
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
Odds pages
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.