SimpleFunctions
KalshiJul 8, 202666 days left

Will Aryna Sabalenka win the French Open?

This contract is priced at 33¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 31¢ bid, 33¢ ask, 2¢ spread.

Implied probability

33¢
$71K volume
$55K liquidity
820% of event volume

Event outcomes

16

Family volume

$9K

Best sibling

Iga Swiatek 16¢

Ticker

KXFOWOMEN-26-SAB

Price history

33¢ current

+4¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
Apr 8, 2026May 3, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

31 / 33¢

Kalshi
2¢ spread
BidSize
31¢4
27¢46
26¢321
25¢400
22¢72
AskSize
33¢201
34¢3.7K
35¢1.6K
37¢52
38¢2.9K

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

If Aryna Sabalenka wins the 2026 Women's French Open professional tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jul 8, 2026

Identifier

KXFOWOMEN-26-SAB

Cross-venue match

Similar contract on polymarket at 32¢, +1¢ versus this page.

View counterpart

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

1236.5%

IY (No)

249.6%

Adj IY

1157%

CRI

2

RV

335%

VR

0.91

Regime

neutral

Score

0.341

Observability

low

Event type

sports

Full indicator table

1236.5%
249.6%
Adj IY
1157%
2
RV
335%
VR
0.91
IAR
0.5/h
Overround
-0.2%
LAS
0.06

Odds pages

Related prediction questions

Browse odds

Related readings

Matched from SimpleFunctions blog, opinions, technical guides, concepts, and learn pages.

Browse library
Opinioncomparison

Kalshi vs Polymarket: Mechanics, Fees, Regulation, Liquidity (2026)

Side-by-side comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket in 2026. Fee math, calibration data, withdrawal speed, and a decision tree for picking the right venue.

Blogmarkets

Kalshi vs Polymarket: Which Prediction Market Should You Trade?

In-depth comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket for prediction market traders. Regulatory structure, liquidity, fees, API tooling, and cross-venue trading with SimpleFunctions.

Blogmarkets

Prediction Market Orderbook Analysis: Reading Depth, Spread, and Liquidity

How to read prediction market orderbooks. Binary settlement, spread-as-percentage, depth asymmetry, executable edge calculation, and cross-venue arbitrage analysis.

Technicalguide

Kalshi vs Polymarket: A Developer's Comparison of APIs, Orderbooks, and Liquidity

Data-driven comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket APIs, orderbooks, rate limits, and liquidity. Code examples for building on both prediction markets.

Opinionanalysis

Liquidity Availability Is the Real Edge in Prediction Markets

Implied yield, cliff risk, and overround all describe what to trade. Liquidity Availability Score describes whether the orderbook can absorb the trade. Why LAS is the indicator that decides who actually books P&L.

Opinionanalysis

Implied Yield vs Raw Probability: Why Bond-Adjacent Prediction Markets Need a Different Lens

Why fixed-income-adjacent prediction-market contracts need to be priced in implied yield, not raw probability, with two real Kalshi Fed-decision contracts as a case study.

SimpleFunctions context

Index, screen, query, and monitor.

Open index