Average gas prices above $4.380
Above 4.380 is priced at 84¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 67¢ bid, 84¢ ask, 17¢ spread. This outcome ranks #4 of 14 inside Will average gas prices be above $4.
Price history
84¢ current
+10¢Contract brief
If average regular gas prices for United States are strictly greater than $4.380 on May 29, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Above 4.380
Rank
#4 of 14
Leader
Above 4.370 97¢
Range
1¢-97¢
Family volume
$29K
Identifier
KXAAAGASD-26MAY29-4.380
May 28, 2026, 8:38 PM UTC · 3m ago
Implied probability
Bid
67¢
Ask
84¢
Spread
17¢
24h volume
$1K
Family rank
#4 of 14
14 outcomes · Will average gas prices be above $4
Closes
May 29, 2026
Family volume
$29K
Orderbook snapshot
67 / 84¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If average regular gas prices for United States are strictly greater than $4.380 on May 29, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
May 29, 2026
Identifier
KXAAAGASD-26MAY29-4.380
Event family
Will average gas prices be above $4.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$29K
Outcomes
14
Highest price
Above 4.370 97¢
Current share
3%
Above 4.370
kalshi · KXAAAGASD-26MAY29-4.370
Above 4.365
kalshi · KXAAAGASD-26MAY29-4.365
Above 4.375
kalshi · KXAAAGASD-26MAY29-4.375
Above 4.380
kalshi · KXAAAGASD-26MAY29-4.380
Above 4.385
kalshi · KXAAAGASD-26MAY29-4.385
Above 4.390
kalshi · KXAAAGASD-26MAY29-4.390
Above 4.395
kalshi · KXAAAGASD-26MAY29-4.395
Above 4.400
kalshi · KXAAAGASD-26MAY29-4.400
Above 4.405
kalshi · KXAAAGASD-26MAY29-4.405
Above 4.450
kalshi · KXAAAGASD-26MAY29-4.450
Above 4.420
kalshi · KXAAAGASD-26MAY29-4.420
Above 4.415
kalshi · KXAAAGASD-26MAY29-4.415
Above 4.410
kalshi · KXAAAGASD-26MAY29-4.410
Above 4.435
kalshi · KXAAAGASD-26MAY29-4.435
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
Odds pages
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SimpleFunctions context
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Event Probability API
Read 84% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
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World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.