Baltimore · KXNFLGAME-26SEP13BALIND
Baltimore is priced at 65¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 61¢ bid, 71¢ ask, 10¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 2 inside KXNFLGAME-26SEP13BALIND.
Price history
65¢ current
+40¢Contract brief
If Baltimore wins the Baltimore vs Indianapolis professional football game originally scheduled for Sep 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Baltimore
Rank
#1 of 2
Leader
Baltimore 61¢
Range
36¢-61¢
Family volume
$93
Identifier
KXNFLGAME-26SEP13BALIND-BAL
May 28, 2026, 7:08 AM UTC · 2m ago
Implied probability
Bid
61¢
Ask
71¢
Spread
10¢
24h volume
$68
Family rank
#1 of 2
2 outcomes · KXNFLGAME-26SEP13BALIND
Closes
Sep 15, 2026
Family volume
$93
Orderbook snapshot
61 / 71¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Baltimore wins the Baltimore vs Indianapolis professional football game originally scheduled for Sep 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Sep 15, 2026
Identifier
KXNFLGAME-26SEP13BALIND-BAL
Event family
KXNFLGAME-26SEP13BALIND.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$93
Outcomes
2
Highest price
Baltimore 61¢
Current share
73%
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
Odds pages
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SimpleFunctions context
Index, screen, query, and monitor.
Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
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Event Probability API
Read 65% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
Prices, orderbooks, movement, heat, and liquidity indicators across venues.
World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
Map a thesis or exposure to candidate event markets and monitoring paths.
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.