SimpleFunctions

Indianapolis · KXNFLGAME-26SEP13BALIND

Indianapolis is priced at 37¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 25¢ bid, 37¢ ask, 12¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 2 inside KXNFLGAME-26SEP13BALIND.

Price history

37¢ current

+10¢
20¢30¢40¢
May 15, 2026May 25, 2026

Contract brief

If Indianapolis wins the Baltimore vs Indianapolis professional football game originally scheduled for Sep 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Indianapolis

Rank

#2 of 2

Leader

Baltimore 64¢

Range

25¢-64¢

Family volume

$25

Identifier

KXNFLGAME-26SEP13BALIND-IND

May 25, 2026, 3:38 PM UTC · 14m ago

Implied probability

37¢
Latest venue quote
May 25, 2026, 3:38 PM UTC · 14m ago

Bid

25¢

Ask

37¢

Spread

12¢

24h volume

$25

Family rank

#2 of 2

2 outcomes · KXNFLGAME-26SEP13BALIND

Closes

Sep 15, 2026

Family volume

$25

Orderbook snapshot

25 / 37¢

Kalshi
12¢ spread
BidSize
25¢1
24¢152
23¢300
16¢20
15¢500
AskSize
37¢2
38¢19
39¢179
40¢352
54¢100

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Indianapolis wins the Baltimore vs Indianapolis professional football game originally scheduled for Sep 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Sep 15, 2026

Identifier

KXNFLGAME-26SEP13BALIND-IND

SF Signal
SF Index
968.54
Regime
neutral

Event family

KXNFLGAME-26SEP13BALIND.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$25

Outcomes

2

Highest price

Baltimore 64¢

Current share

100%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

968.5%

IY (No)

107.6%

Adj IY

969%

CRI

3

RV

1140%

VR

4.01

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

968.5%
107.6%
Adj IY
969%
3
RV
1140%
VR
4.01
IAR
0.5/h

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.