Belgium advances further than Germany · KXWCTEAMH2H-26GERBEL
Belgium advances further than Germany is priced at 46¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 7¢ bid, 48¢ ask, 41¢ spread. This outcome ranks #3 of 3 inside KXWCTEAMH2H-26GERBEL.
Price history
46¢ current
+23¢Contract brief
If Belgium advances to a further stage than Germany in the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Belgium advances further than Germany
Rank
#3 of 3
Leader
Germany advances further than Belgium 49¢
Range
7¢-49¢
Family volume
$852
Identifier
KXWCTEAMH2H-26GERBEL-BEL
Jun 17, 2026, 5:38 AM UTC · 20m ago
Implied probability
Bid
7¢
Ask
48¢
Spread
41¢
Reported volume
$330
Family rank
#3 of 3
3 outcomes · KXWCTEAMH2H-26GERBEL
Closes
Aug 3, 2026
Family volume
$852
Orderbook snapshot
7 / 48¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Belgium advances to a further stage than Germany in the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Aug 3, 2026
Identifier
KXWCTEAMH2H-26GERBEL-BEL
Event family
KXWCTEAMH2H-26GERBEL.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$852
Outcomes
3
Highest price
Germany advances further than Belgium 49¢
Current share
0%
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.