Will Brooks Rosser win American Idol Season 24 (ABC Season 9)?
Prediction markets currently give a 19% probability that Will Brooks Rosser win American Idol Season 24 (ABC Season 9)?. This contract trades at 19¢ on Kalshi, closing January 7, 2027. Brooks Rosser's odds have remained relatively stable at 14-16¢ over the past week despite extraordinarily high implied yield on the Yes side (779%), suggesting limited conviction among traders despite the attractive payout potential.
Analysis
Brooks Rosser's odds have remained relatively stable at 14-16¢ over the past week despite extraordinarily high implied yield on the Yes side (779%), suggesting limited conviction among traders despite the attractive payout potential. The 689% realized volatility and 2.00 vol ratio indicate this market experiences significant price swings, yet the modest $364.87 daily volume and tight 1¢ spread reflect thin liquidity for a contract with 266 days to expiration and $36k open interest. The neutral regime and low information arrival rate (0.5/h) suggest the market is pricing in genuine uncertainty about Rosser's chances rather than responding to breaking news.
Also on polymarket at 24¢(Δ -5¢)
Resolution rules
If Brooks Rosser is officially declared the winner of American Idol Season 24 (ABC Season 9), then the market resolves to Yes.
Indicators
Regime
Trade
sf trade KXAMERICANIDOL-26DEC31-BRO yes 100