SimpleFunctions
KalshiMay 9, 20266 days left

Will Bruno Mars have above 398,485,183 Streams on Luminate from May 01 - May 07, 2026?

This contract is priced at 95¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 6¢ bid, 95¢ ask, 89¢ spread.

Implied probability

95¢
$34 volume
$34 liquidity
100% of event volume

Event outcomes

1

Family volume

$34

Best sibling

Ticker

KXARTISTSTREAMSU-BMARS26MAY07-398.5M

Price history

95¢ current

+93¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
May 2, 2026May 3, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

6 / 95¢

Kalshi
89¢ spread
BidSize
6¢111
5¢676
4¢200
AskSize
95¢47
96¢306
97¢495
99¢194

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

If Bruno Mars has above 398,485,183 Worldwide Streams during the May 01 - May 07, 2026, tracking week, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

May 9, 2026

Identifier

KXARTISTSTREAMSU-BMARS26MAY07-398.5M

Event family

This market.

This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.

Total volume

$34

Outcomes

1

Highest price

Will Bruno Mars have above 398,485,183 Streams on Luminate from May 01 - May 07, 2026 95¢

Current share

100%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

16

Odds pages

Related prediction questions

Browse odds

Related readings

Matched from SimpleFunctions blog, opinions, technical guides, concepts, and learn pages.

Browse library
Blogmarkets

Kalshi vs Polymarket: Which Prediction Market Should You Trade?

In-depth comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket for prediction market traders. Regulatory structure, liquidity, fees, API tooling, and cross-venue trading with SimpleFunctions.

Opinioncomparison

Kalshi vs Polymarket: Mechanics, Fees, Regulation, Liquidity (2026)

Side-by-side comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket in 2026. Fee math, calibration data, withdrawal speed, and a decision tree for picking the right venue.

Blogmarkets

Prediction Market Orderbook Analysis: Reading Depth, Spread, and Liquidity

How to read prediction market orderbooks. Binary settlement, spread-as-percentage, depth asymmetry, executable edge calculation, and cross-venue arbitrage analysis.

Technicalguide

Kalshi vs Polymarket: A Developer's Comparison of APIs, Orderbooks, and Liquidity

Data-driven comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket APIs, orderbooks, rate limits, and liquidity. Code examples for building on both prediction markets.

Opinionanalysis

Information Finance Has Arrived: A Material Map of Prediction Markets in Q2 2026

Combined Kalshi + Polymarket volume hit $66B in just four months of 2026 — already greater than the entire 2025 industry total. Bernstein projects $1T by 2030. Two venues hold 95% of US share. The distribution layer fragmented across nine retail surfaces. AI agents are 30% of Polymarket wallet activ

Opinionanalysis

Volatility Arbitrage in Prediction Markets: Why Political Favorites Above 60¢ Are Systematically Underconfident

A binary contract at price p has variance p(1-p). Le 2026 (292M trades) finds political markets underconfident at slopes 0.93-1.83 — meaning a 70¢ contract corresponds to a true probability near 83%. Four systematic vol-arb trades follow from the calibration evidence.

SimpleFunctions context

Index, screen, query, and monitor.

Open index