BTC trimmed mean below $70000.00 by 11:59 PM ET on May 31, 2026
Below $70,000.00 is priced at 16¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 15¢ bid, 16¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 7 inside Will BTC trimmed mean be below $.
Price history
16¢ current
+14¢Contract brief
If the price of BTC after issuance and through 11:59 PM ET on May 31, 2026 is ever below $70000.00, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Below $70,000.00
Rank
#2 of 7
Leader
Below $72,500.00 72¢
Range
1¢-72¢
Family volume
$139K
Identifier
KXBTCMINMON-BTC-26MAY31-7000000
May 28, 2026, 5:38 PM UTC · 18m ago
Implied probability
Bid
15¢
Ask
16¢
Spread
1¢
24h volume
$38K
Family rank
#2 of 7
7 outcomes · Will BTC trimmed mean be below $
Closes
Jun 1, 2026
Family volume
$139K
Orderbook snapshot
15 / 16¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If the price of BTC after issuance and through 11:59 PM ET on May 31, 2026 is ever below $70000.00, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jun 1, 2026
Identifier
KXBTCMINMON-BTC-26MAY31-7000000
Event family
Will BTC trimmed mean be below $.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$139K
Outcomes
7
Highest price
Below $72,500.00 72¢
Current share
27%
Below $72,500.00
kalshi · KXBTCMINMON-BTC-26MAY31-7250000
Below $70,000.00
kalshi · KXBTCMINMON-BTC-26MAY31-7000000
Below $67,500.00
kalshi · KXBTCMINMON-BTC-26MAY31-6750000
Below $65,000.00
kalshi · KXBTCMINMON-BTC-26MAY31-6500000
Below $60,000.00
kalshi · KXBTCMINMON-BTC-26MAY31-6000000
Below $62,500.00
kalshi · KXBTCMINMON-BTC-26MAY31-6250000
Below $57,500.00
kalshi · KXBTCMINMON-BTC-26MAY31-5750000
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
taker
Score
0.636
Observability
direct
Event type
financial
Full indicator table
Odds pages
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.