BTC trimmed mean below $72500.00 by 11:59 PM ET on May 31, 2026
Below $72,500.00 is priced at 84¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 80¢ bid, 84¢ ask, 4¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 7 inside Will BTC trimmed mean be below $.
Price history
84¢ current
+82¢Contract brief
If the price of BTC after issuance and through 11:59 PM ET on May 31, 2026 is ever below $72500.00, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Below $72,500.00
Rank
#1 of 7
Leader
Below $72,500.00 81¢
Range
1¢-81¢
Family volume
$124K
Identifier
KXBTCMINMON-BTC-26MAY31-7250000
May 28, 2026, 4:08 PM UTC · 18m ago
Implied probability
Bid
80¢
Ask
84¢
Spread
4¢
24h volume
$61K
Family rank
#1 of 7
7 outcomes · Will BTC trimmed mean be below $
Closes
Jun 1, 2026
Family volume
$124K
Orderbook snapshot
80 / 84¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If the price of BTC after issuance and through 11:59 PM ET on May 31, 2026 is ever below $72500.00, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jun 1, 2026
Identifier
KXBTCMINMON-BTC-26MAY31-7250000
Event family
Will BTC trimmed mean be below $.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$124K
Outcomes
7
Highest price
Below $72,500.00 81¢
Current share
48%
Below $72,500.00
kalshi · KXBTCMINMON-BTC-26MAY31-7250000
Below $70,000.00
kalshi · KXBTCMINMON-BTC-26MAY31-7000000
Below $67,500.00
kalshi · KXBTCMINMON-BTC-26MAY31-6750000
Below $65,000.00
kalshi · KXBTCMINMON-BTC-26MAY31-6500000
Below $60,000.00
kalshi · KXBTCMINMON-BTC-26MAY31-6000000
Below $62,500.00
kalshi · KXBTCMINMON-BTC-26MAY31-6250000
Below $57,500.00
kalshi · KXBTCMINMON-BTC-26MAY31-5750000
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
Odds pages
Related prediction questions
Related readings
Matched from SimpleFunctions blog, opinions, technical guides, concepts, and learn pages.
How Bitcoin & Ethereum Crypto 2026 Price Prediction Markets Are Pricing the Next Leg of the Cycle
Deep-dive for crypto investors and traders into Bitcoin and Ethereum 2026 price prediction markets. Learn how BTC/ETH halving base rates, ETF flows, DeFi/L2 growth, and global regulation shape market-implied odds for 2026 price targets.
Kalshi vs Polymarket: Which Prediction Market Should You Trade?
In-depth comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket for prediction market traders. Regulatory structure, liquidity, fees, API tooling, and cross-venue trading with SimpleFunctions.
Kalshi vs Polymarket: Mechanics, Fees, Regulation, Liquidity (2026)
Side-by-side comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket in 2026. Fee math, calibration data, withdrawal speed, and a decision tree for picking the right venue.
Prediction Market Orderbook Analysis: Reading Depth, Spread, and Liquidity
How to read prediction market orderbooks. Binary settlement, spread-as-percentage, depth asymmetry, executable edge calculation, and cross-venue arbitrage analysis.
Kalshi vs Polymarket: A Developer's Comparison of APIs, Orderbooks, and Liquidity
Data-driven comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket APIs, orderbooks, rate limits, and liquidity. Code examples for building on both prediction markets.
Venezuela Oil Production, PDVSA 2026 Sanctions & Prediction Markets: What the Odds Are Really Pricing In
In-depth analysis of Venezuela oil production and PDVSA through 2026, U.S. sanctions and Chevron licenses, China/Russia oil-for-loans, infrastructure constraints, and how prediction markets are pricing future Venezuelan supply.
SimpleFunctions context
Index, screen, query, and monitor.
Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
Filter adjacent contracts by volume, expiry, IY, CRI, venue, and theme.
Event Probability API
Read 84% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
Prices, orderbooks, movement, heat, and liquidity indicators across venues.
World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
Map a thesis or exposure to candidate event markets and monitoring paths.
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.