SimpleFunctions
KalshiNov 3, 2027541 days left

Will Calvin Lee advance in the 2026 CA-34 primary?

By SimpleFunctions· Last verified 11 May 2026Methodology

This contract is priced at 10¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 10¢ bid, 10¢ ask, 0¢ spread.

Implied probability

10¢
$4K volume
$3K liquidity
41950% of event volume

Event outcomes

6

Family volume

$10

Best sibling

Jimmy Gomez 93¢

Ticker

KXCAPRIMARY-3426-CLEE

Market snapshot

Calvin Lee in market context.

This page tracks the Kalshi contract for Will Calvin Lee advance in the 2026 CA-34 primary?. The displayed quote is 10¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports reported volume of $4K. In the KXCAPRIMARY-3426 family, this outcome ranks #3 of 6 by current quote across 6 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 11, 2026, 9:53 PM UTC.

Outcome

Calvin Lee

Family rank

#3 of 6

Venue

Kalshi

Current quote

10¢

Quote source

Latest venue quote

Timing

Listed until Nov 3, 2027

Reported volume

$4K

Family context

6 outcomes · KXCAPRIMARY-3426

Quote range

1¢-93¢

Family leader

Jimmy Gomez 93¢

Last updated

May 11, 2026, 9:53 PM UTC · 13m ago

Venue identifier: KXCAPRIMARY-3426-CLEE. Family volume: $10.

Price history

10¢ current

+4¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
Apr 15, 2026May 6, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

10 / 10¢

Kalshi
0¢ spread
BidSize
10¢100
8¢200
2¢1.9K
2¢51
2¢31
AskSize
10¢7
12¢30
16¢32
17¢144
18¢500

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

If Calvin Lee advances in the 2026 CA-34 primary, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Nov 3, 2027

Identifier

KXCAPRIMARY-3426-CLEE

SF Signal
SF Index
303.77
Regime
neutral

Event family

KXCAPRIMARY-3426.

This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.

Total volume

$10

Outcomes

6

Highest price

Jimmy Gomez 93¢

Current share

0%

Browse this series

2026 California Primary Election Markets
Per-series collection — every live contract in the KXCAPRIMARY series on Kalshi, sorted by 24h volume.

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

607.5%

IY (No)

7.5%

Adj IY

304%

CRI

9

Overround

0.8%

LAS

0.00

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

607.5%
7.5%
Adj IY
304%
9
Overround
0.8%
LAS
0.00

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.