SimpleFunctions
KalshiMay 19, 202610 days left

Will Canada inflation rate YoY for April 2026 be above 2.9%?

This contract is priced at 59¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 58¢ bid, 59¢ ask, 1¢ spread.

Implied probability

59¢
$2 volume
$2 liquidity
4% of event volume

Event outcomes

15

Family volume

$46

Best sibling

Above 3.1% 41¢

Ticker

KXCACPIYOY-26MAY19-T2.9

Market snapshot

Above 2.9% in market context.

This page tracks the Kalshi contract for Will Canada inflation rate YoY for April 2026 be above 2.9%?. The displayed quote is 59¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports reported volume of $2. In the Will Canada inflation rate YoY for April 2026 be above family, this outcome ranks #7 of 15 by current quote across 15 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 7:23 AM UTC.

Outcome

Above 2.9%

Family rank

#7 of 15

Venue

Kalshi

Current quote

59¢

Quote source

Latest venue quote

Timing

Listed until May 19, 2026

Reported volume

$2

Family context

15 outcomes · Will Canada inflation rate YoY for April 2026 be above

Quote range

3¢-96¢

Family leader

Above 2.3% 96¢

Last updated

May 9, 2026, 7:23 AM UTC · 13m ago

Venue identifier: KXCACPIYOY-26MAY19-T2.9. Family volume: $46.

Price history

59¢ current

+57¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
May 5, 2026May 6, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

58 / 59¢

Kalshi
1¢ spread
BidSize
58¢5.6K
57¢700
5¢244
4¢5.0K
2¢1.3K
AskSize
59¢2.6K
89¢253
90¢2.9K
91¢22
99¢2.3K

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

If Canada inflation rate YoY for April 2026 is above 2.9 , then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

May 19, 2026

Identifier

KXCACPIYOY-26MAY19-T2.9

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

2588.2%

IY (No)

4935.8%

Adj IY

2468%

CRI

1

Overround

6.4%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

2588.2%
4935.8%
Adj IY
2468%
1
Overround
6.4%

Odds pages

Related prediction questions

Browse odds

Related readings

Matched from SimpleFunctions blog, opinions, technical guides, concepts, and learn pages.

Browse library
Technicalguide

Kalshi vs Polymarket: A Developer's Comparison of APIs, Orderbooks, and Liquidity

Data-driven comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket APIs, orderbooks, rate limits, and liquidity. Code examples for building on both prediction markets.

Blogmarkets

Kalshi vs Polymarket: Which Prediction Market Should You Trade?

In-depth comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket for prediction market traders. Regulatory structure, liquidity, fees, API tooling, and cross-venue trading with SimpleFunctions.

Opinioncomparison

Kalshi vs Polymarket: Mechanics, Fees, Regulation, Liquidity (2026)

Side-by-side comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket in 2026. Fee math, calibration data, withdrawal speed, and a decision tree for picking the right venue.

Blogmarkets

Prediction Market Orderbook Analysis: Reading Depth, Spread, and Liquidity

How to read prediction market orderbooks. Binary settlement, spread-as-percentage, depth asymmetry, executable edge calculation, and cross-venue arbitrage analysis.

Opinionanalysis

Liquidity Availability Is the Real Edge in Prediction Markets

Implied yield, cliff risk, and overround all describe what to trade. Liquidity Availability Score describes whether the orderbook can absorb the trade. Why LAS is the indicator that decides who actually books P&L.

Opinionanalysis

Implied Yield vs Raw Probability: Why Bond-Adjacent Prediction Markets Need a Different Lens

Why fixed-income-adjacent prediction-market contracts need to be priced in implied yield, not raw probability, with two real Kalshi Fed-decision contracts as a case study.

SimpleFunctions context

Index, screen, query, and monitor.

Open index