Will China balance of trade for April 2026 be above 130.0B USD?

Kalshi vs Polymarket: Which Prediction Market Should You Trade?

In-depth comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket for prediction market traders. Regulatory structure, liquidity, fees, API tooling, and cross-venue trading with SimpleFunctions.

Kalshi vs Polymarket: Mechanics, Fees, Regulation, Liquidity (2026)

Side-by-side comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket in 2026. Fee math, calibration data, withdrawal speed, and a decision tree for picking the right venue.

Liquidity Availability Is the Real Edge in Prediction Markets

Implied yield, cliff risk, and overround all describe what to trade. Liquidity Availability Score describes whether the orderbook can absorb the trade. Why LAS is the indicator that decides who actually books P&L.

Trump Tariffs 2026: Trade War Risk with China & Mexico and What Prediction Markets Are Pricing In

Deep‑dive guide to Trump’s 2025–26 tariff agenda, trade war risk with China and Mexico, macro and sector impacts, and how to use prediction markets to trade Trump tariffs 2026.

AI Regulation 2026: Global Policy Scenarios and How to Trade Them on Prediction Markets

Deep‑dive guide to AI regulation 2026 global policy prediction markets: EU AI Act enforcement, US executive orders and potential federal law, China’s AI regime, safety standards (NIST, ISO 42001, G7, UK AI Safety Institute), tech‑company compliance, open‑source debates, and how to trade key regulatory scenarios.

Prediction Market Orderbook Analysis: Reading Depth, Spread, and Liquidity

How to read prediction market orderbooks. Binary settlement, spread-as-percentage, depth asymmetry, executable edge calculation, and cross-venue arbitrage analysis.