William Byron · KXNASCARTOP5-CRAB26
William Byron is priced at 30¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 5¢ bid, 29¢ ask, 24¢ spread. This outcome ranks #10 of 16 inside KXNASCARTOP5-CRAB26.
Price history
30¢ current
+25¢Contract brief
If William Byron finishes in the top 5 in the Main Event at the 2026 NASCAR Cracker Barrel 400, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
William Byron
Rank
#10 of 16
Leader
Ryan Blaney 50¢
Range
1¢-50¢
Family volume
$895
Identifier
KXNASCARTOP5-CRAB26-WIBY
May 28, 2026, 6:38 PM UTC · 10m ago
Implied probability
Bid
5¢
Ask
29¢
Spread
24¢
24h volume
$1
Family rank
#10 of 16
16 outcomes · KXNASCARTOP5-CRAB26
Closes
Jun 29, 2026
Family volume
$895
Orderbook snapshot
5 / 29¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If William Byron finishes in the top 5 in the Main Event at the 2026 NASCAR Cracker Barrel 400, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jun 29, 2026
Identifier
KXNASCARTOP5-CRAB26-WIBY
Event family
KXNASCARTOP5-CRAB26.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$895
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Ryan Blaney 50¢
Current share
0%
Ryan Blaney
kalshi · KXNASCARTOP5-CRAB26-RYBL
Tyler Reddick
kalshi · KXNASCARTOP5-CRAB26-TYRE
Denny Hamlin
kalshi · KXNASCARTOP5-CRAB26-DEHA
Ty Gibbs
kalshi · KXNASCARTOP5-CRAB26-TYGI
Carson Hocevar
kalshi · KXNASCARTOP5-CRAB26-CAHO
Christopher Bell
kalshi · KXNASCARTOP5-CRAB26-CHBE
Chase Briscoe
kalshi · KXNASCARTOP5-CRAB26-CHBR
Alex Bowman
kalshi · KXNASCARTOP5-CRAB26-ALBO
Chase Elliott
kalshi · KXNASCARTOP5-CRAB26-CHEL
William Byron
kalshi · KXNASCARTOP5-CRAB26-WIBY
Austin Cindric
kalshi · KXNASCARTOP5-CRAB26-AUCI
Brad Keselowski
kalshi · KXNASCARTOP5-CRAB26-BRKE
Bubba Wallace
kalshi · KXNASCARTOP5-CRAB26-BUWA
Chris Buescher
kalshi · KXNASCARTOP5-CRAB26-CHBU
Corey Heim
kalshi · KXNASCARTOP5-CRAB26-COHE
Erik Jones
kalshi · KXNASCARTOP5-CRAB26-ERJO
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.