Will Cody Gakpo lead FIFA World Cup in Goals for the 2026 World Cup Full Tournament?
Prediction markets currently give a 3% probability that Will Cody Gakpo lead FIFA World Cup in Goals for the 2026 World Cup Full Tournament?. This contract trades at 3¢ on Kalshi, closing August 7, 2026. This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero 24-hour volume despite $6,278 in open interest, suggesting positions are largely stagnant.
Analysis
This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero 24-hour volume despite $6,278 in open interest, suggesting positions are largely stagnant. The 3¢ price implies only a 3% probability that Gakpo leads the tournament in goals, which seems conservative given he's a starting forward for a competitive Netherlands team, though the astronomical 10,487% implied yield on Yes positions indicates the market is pricing in substantial uncertainty or potential mispricing. With 113 days until the 2026 World Cup and a 2¢ spread, this market lacks sufficient trading activity to establish reliable pricing confidence.
Resolution rules
If Cody Gakpo leads FIFA World Cup in Goals for the 2026 World Cup Full Tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
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sf trade KXWCGOALLEADER-26-CGAK yes 100