Colombia advances further than Ecuador · KXWCTEAMH2H-26COLECU
Colombia advances further than Ecuador is priced at 57¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 59¢ bid, 60¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 3 inside KXWCTEAMH2H-26COLECU.
Price history
57¢ current
+25¢Contract brief
If Colombia advances to a further stage than Ecuador in the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Colombia advances further than Ecuador
Rank
#1 of 3
Leader
Colombia advances further than Ecuador 59¢
Range
21¢-59¢
Family volume
$678
Identifier
KXWCTEAMH2H-26COLECU-COL
Jun 19, 2026, 12:38 PM UTC · 10m ago
Implied probability
Bid
59¢
Ask
60¢
Spread
1¢
24h volume
$570
Family rank
#1 of 3
3 outcomes · KXWCTEAMH2H-26COLECU
Closes
Aug 3, 2026
Family volume
$678
Orderbook snapshot
59 / 60¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Colombia advances to a further stage than Ecuador in the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Aug 3, 2026
Identifier
KXWCTEAMH2H-26COLECU-COL
Event family
KXWCTEAMH2H-26COLECU.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$678
Outcomes
3
Highest price
Colombia advances further than Ecuador 59¢
Current share
84%
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.341
Observability
none
Event type
sports
Full indicator table
Odds pages
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.