SimpleFunctions

Colombia · KXWCGSGOALS-26MOST

Colombia is priced at 12¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 0¢ bid, 12¢ ask, 12¢ spread. This outcome ranks #4 of 10 inside KXWCGSGOALS-26MOST.

Price history

12¢ current

10¢15¢
Jun 7, 2026Jun 7, 2026

Contract brief

If Colombia records the most goals scored by any team in the group stage of the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Colombia

Rank

#4 of 10

Leader

Portugal 17¢

Range

5¢-17¢

Family volume

$779

Identifier

KXWCGSGOALS-26MOST-COL

Jun 7, 2026, 8:38 PM UTC · 9m ago

Implied probability

12¢
Latest venue quote
Jun 7, 2026, 8:38 PM UTC · 9m ago

Bid

Ask

12¢

Spread

12¢

24h volume

$71

Family rank

#4 of 10

10 outcomes · KXWCGSGOALS-26MOST

Closes

Jun 30, 2026

Family volume

$779

Orderbook snapshot

0 / 12¢

Kalshi
12¢ spread
BidSize
AskSize
12¢312
14¢312
88¢3.0K
89¢48
99¢625

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Colombia records the most goals scored by any team in the group stage of the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jun 30, 2026

Identifier

KXWCGSGOALS-26MOST-COL

SF Signal
SF Index
5889.77
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

11779.5%

IY (No)

219.0%

Adj IY

5890%

CRI

7

Overround

0.2%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

11779.5%
219.0%
Adj IY
5890%
7
Overround
0.2%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.