Conor McGregor · KXUFCFIGHT-26JUL11MCGHOL
Conor McGregor is priced at 31¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 29¢ bid, 31¢ ask, 2¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 2 inside KXUFCFIGHT-26JUL11MCGHOL.
Price history
31¢ current
+10¢Contract brief
If Conor McGregor wins the Conor McGregor vs Max Holloway professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Jul 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Conor McGregor
Rank
#2 of 2
Leader
Max Holloway 70¢
Range
29¢-70¢
Family volume
$49K
Identifier
KXUFCFIGHT-26JUL11MCGHOL-MCG
May 26, 2026, 6:08 PM UTC · 1m ago
Implied probability
Bid
29¢
Ask
31¢
Spread
2¢
24h volume
$43K
Family rank
#2 of 2
2 outcomes · KXUFCFIGHT-26JUL11MCGHOL
Closes
Jul 26, 2026
Family volume
$49K
Orderbook snapshot
29 / 31¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Conor McGregor wins the Conor McGregor vs Max Holloway professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Jul 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jul 26, 2026
Identifier
KXUFCFIGHT-26JUL11MCGHOL-MCG
Event family
KXUFCFIGHT-26JUL11MCGHOL.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$49K
Outcomes
2
Highest price
Max Holloway 70¢
Current share
88%
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Odds pages
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SimpleFunctions context
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Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
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Event Probability API
Read 31% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
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World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.