Max Holloway · KXUFCFIGHT-26JUL11MCGHOL
Max Holloway is priced at 71¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 70¢ bid, 71¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 2 inside KXUFCFIGHT-26JUL11MCGHOL.
Price history
71¢ current
+21¢Contract brief
If Max Holloway wins the Conor McGregor vs Max Holloway professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Jul 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Max Holloway
Rank
#1 of 2
Leader
Max Holloway 70¢
Range
29¢-70¢
Family volume
$74K
Identifier
KXUFCFIGHT-26JUL11MCGHOL-HOL
May 27, 2026, 9:08 PM UTC · 30m ago
Implied probability
Bid
70¢
Ask
71¢
Spread
1¢
24h volume
$2K
Family rank
#1 of 2
2 outcomes · KXUFCFIGHT-26JUL11MCGHOL
Closes
Jul 26, 2026
Family volume
$74K
Orderbook snapshot
70 / 71¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Max Holloway wins the Conor McGregor vs Max Holloway professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Jul 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jul 26, 2026
Identifier
KXUFCFIGHT-26JUL11MCGHOL-HOL
Event family
KXUFCFIGHT-26JUL11MCGHOL.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$74K
Outcomes
2
Highest price
Max Holloway 70¢
Current share
2%
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Odds pages
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SimpleFunctions context
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Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
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Event Probability API
Read 71% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
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World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.