SimpleFunctions

Darius Acuff Jr · KXNBADRAFTPICK-26-6

Darius Acuff Jr. is priced at 23¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 19¢ bid, 23¢ ask, 4¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 12 inside KXNBADRAFTPICK-26-6.

Price history

23¢ current

+5¢
0¢10¢20¢
Apr 29, 2026May 23, 2026

Contract brief

If Darius Acuff Jr. is selected as the 6th overall pick in the 2026 Pro Basketball Draft, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Darius Acuff Jr.

Rank

#1 of 12

Leader

Darius Acuff Jr. 19¢

Range

1¢-19¢

Family volume

$27

Identifier

KXNBADRAFTPICK-26-6-DACU

May 25, 2026, 11:38 PM UTC · 20m ago

Implied probability

23¢
Latest venue quote
May 25, 2026, 11:38 PM UTC · 20m ago

Bid

19¢

Ask

23¢

Spread

Reported volume

$1K

Family rank

#1 of 12

12 outcomes · KXNBADRAFTPICK-26-6

Closes

Jul 2, 2026

Family volume

$27

Orderbook snapshot

19 / 23¢

Kalshi
4¢ spread
BidSize
19¢256
18¢167
17¢294
13¢167
8¢167
AskSize
23¢538
26¢405
29¢422
32¢441
37¢476

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Darius Acuff Jr. is selected as the 6th overall pick in the 2026 Pro Basketball Draft, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jul 2, 2026

Identifier

KXNBADRAFTPICK-26-6-DACU

SF Signal
SF Index
1633.74
Regime
neutral

Browse this series

NBA Draft Pick-Position Markets
Per-series collection — every live contract in the KXNBADRAFTPICK series on Kalshi, sorted by 24h volume.

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

4138.7%

IY (No)

227.7%

Adj IY

1634%

CRI

4

Overround

-0.4%

LAS

0.21

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

4138.7%
227.7%
Adj IY
1634%
4
Overround
-0.4%
LAS
0.21

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.