Keaton Wagler · KXNBADRAFTPICK-26-6
Keaton Wagler is priced at 9¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 8¢ bid, 11¢ ask, 3¢ spread. This outcome ranks #3 of 12 inside KXNBADRAFTPICK-26-6.
Price history
9¢ current
−10¢Contract brief
If Keaton Wagler is selected as the 6th overall pick in the 2026 Pro Basketball Draft, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Keaton Wagler
Rank
#3 of 12
Leader
Darius Acuff Jr. 19¢
Range
1¢-19¢
Family volume
$196
Identifier
KXNBADRAFTPICK-26-6-KWAG
May 25, 2026, 3:38 AM UTC · 27m ago
Implied probability
Bid
8¢
Ask
11¢
Spread
3¢
Reported volume
$7
Family rank
#3 of 12
12 outcomes · KXNBADRAFTPICK-26-6
Closes
Jul 2, 2026
Family volume
$196
Orderbook snapshot
8 / 11¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Keaton Wagler is selected as the 6th overall pick in the 2026 Pro Basketball Draft, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jul 2, 2026
Identifier
KXNBADRAFTPICK-26-6-KWAG
Event family
KXNBADRAFTPICK-26-6.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$196
Outcomes
12
Highest price
Darius Acuff Jr. 19¢
Current share
0%
Darius Acuff Jr.
kalshi · KXNBADRAFTPICK-26-6-DACU
Mikel Brown Jr.
kalshi · KXNBADRAFTPICK-26-6-MBRO
Keaton Wagler
kalshi · KXNBADRAFTPICK-26-6-KWAG
Kingston Flemings
kalshi · KXNBADRAFTPICK-26-6-KFLE
Koa Peat
kalshi · KXNBADRAFTPICK-26-6-KPEA
Aday Mara
kalshi · KXNBADRAFTPICK-26-6-AMAR
Nate Ament
kalshi · KXNBADRAFTPICK-26-6-NAME
Yaxel Lendeborg
kalshi · KXNBADRAFTPICK-26-6-YLEN
Brayden Burries
kalshi · KXNBADRAFTPICK-26-6-BBUR
Caleb Wilson
kalshi · KXNBADRAFTPICK-26-6-CWIL
Karim Lopez
kalshi · KXNBADRAFTPICK-26-6-KLOP
Labaron Philon Jr.
kalshi · KXNBADRAFTPICK-26-6-LPHI
Browse this series
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.