SimpleFunctions

Daughter From Hell by Gracie Abrams have above 125000 Pure Album Sales during the July 17, 2026 - July 23, 2026 tracking week

Above 125K is priced at 12¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 7¢ bid, 14¢ ask, 7¢ spread. This outcome ranks #15 of 15 inside Will Daughter From Hell by Gracie Abrams have above.

Price history

12¢ current

28¢
0¢25¢
May 12, 2026May 26, 2026

Contract brief

If Daughter From Hell by Gracie Abrams has above 125K Pure Album Sales during the July 17, 2026 - July 23, 2026, tracking week, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Above 125K

Rank

#15 of 15

Leader

Above 55K 76¢

Range

7¢-76¢

Family volume

$129

Identifier

KXALBUMEQUIV-DAU26JUL23-125K

May 27, 2026, 6:38 PM UTC · 28m ago

Implied probability

12¢
Latest venue quote
May 27, 2026, 6:38 PM UTC · 28m ago

Bid

Ask

14¢

Spread

Reported volume

$896

Family rank

#15 of 15

15 outcomes · Will Daughter From Hell by Gracie Abrams have above

Closes

Jul 26, 2026

Family volume

$129

Orderbook snapshot

7 / 14¢

Kalshi
7¢ spread
BidSize
7¢5
6¢200
5¢191
4¢295
AskSize
14¢24
15¢200
21¢45
98¢83
99¢50

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Daughter From Hell by Gracie Abrams has above 125K Pure Album Sales during the July 17, 2026 - July 23, 2026, tracking week, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jul 26, 2026

Identifier

KXALBUMEQUIV-DAU26JUL23-125K

SF Signal
SF Index
4054.11
Regime
neutral

Browse this series

Artist Album-Equivalent-Units Forecast Markets
Per-series collection — every live contract in the KXALBUMEQUIV series on Kalshi, sorted by 24h volume.

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

8108.2%

IY (No)

45.9%

Adj IY

4054%

CRI

13

Overround

4.8%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

8108.2%
45.9%
Adj IY
4054%
13
Overround
4.8%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.