SimpleFunctions

Daughter From Hell by Gracie Abrams have above 95000 Pure Album Sales during the July 17, 2026 - July 23, 2026 tracking week

Above 95K is priced at 49¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 12¢ bid, 58¢ ask, 46¢ spread. This outcome ranks #12 of 15 inside Will Daughter From Hell by Gracie Abrams have above.

Price history

49¢ current

+3¢
0¢25¢50¢
Jun 12, 2026Jul 12, 2026

Contract brief

If Daughter From Hell by Gracie Abrams has above 95K Pure Album Sales during the July 17, 2026 - July 23, 2026, tracking week, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Above 95K

Rank

#12 of 15

Leader

Above 75K 84¢

Range

5¢-84¢

Family volume

$89

Identifier

KXALBUMEQUIV-DAU26JUL23-95K

Jul 12, 2026, 6:08 PM UTC · 13m ago

Implied probability

49¢
Latest venue quote
Jul 12, 2026, 6:08 PM UTC · 13m ago

Bid

12¢

Ask

58¢

Spread

46¢

Reported volume

$2K

Family rank

#12 of 15

15 outcomes · Will Daughter From Hell by Gracie Abrams have above

Closes

Jul 26, 2026

Family volume

$89

Orderbook snapshot

12 / 58¢

Kalshi
46¢ spread
BidSize
100¢3
12¢10
11¢5
6¢37
AskSize
58¢10
59¢4
93¢25
94¢21
95¢47

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Daughter From Hell by Gracie Abrams has above 95K Pure Album Sales during the July 17, 2026 - July 23, 2026, tracking week, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jul 26, 2026

Identifier

KXALBUMEQUIV-DAU26JUL23-95K

SF Signal
SF Index
19358.26
Regime
neutral

Browse this series

Artist Album-Equivalent-Units Forecast Markets
Per-series collection — every live contract in the KXALBUMEQUIV series on Kalshi, sorted by 24h volume.

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

19358.3%

IY (No)

360.0%

Adj IY

19358%

CRI

7

RV

8595%

VR

3.10

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

19358.3%
360.0%
Adj IY
19358%
7
RV
8595%
VR
3.10
IAR
0.3/h
Overround
5.0%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.