SimpleFunctions

David Luna Sánchez (IND) · Colombia Presidential Election

David Luna Sánchez (IND) is priced at 0¢ midpoint on Polymarket. Current book: 0¢ bid, 0¢ ask, 0¢ spread. This outcome ranks #4 of 16 inside Colombia Presidential Election.

Open on PolymarketView JSONEnter terminal

Price history

0¢ current

−50¢
0¢25¢50¢
Apr 28, 2026Apr 28, 2026

Contract brief

Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).

Outcome

David Luna Sánchez (IND)

Rank

#4 of 16

Leader

Abelardo de la Espriella 66¢

Range

0¢-66¢

Family volume

$31.0M

Identifier

0xf63b20e7...9bd5

May 28, 2026, 10:16 PM UTC · 0m ago

Implied probability

0¢
Bid/ask midpoint
May 28, 2026, 10:16 PM UTC · 0m ago

Bid

0¢

Ask

0¢

Spread

0¢

24h volume

$1K

Family rank

#4 of 16

16 outcomes · Colombia Presidential Election

Closes

Jun 21, 2026

Family volume

$31.0M

Orderbook snapshot

0 / 0¢

Polymarket
0¢ spread
BidSize
AskSize
0¢17K
0¢20K
0¢128K
100¢80
100¢314
100¢30
100¢200
100¢950

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).

Venue

Polymarket

Closes

Jun 21, 2026

Identifier

0xf63b20e7…9bd5

SF Signal
Regime
neutral

Event family

Colombia Presidential Election.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$31.0M

Outcomes

16

Highest price

Abelardo de la Espriella 66¢

Current share

6%

OutcomePriceVolume24hDepth

Abelardo de la Espriella

polymarket · 0xfbe85201ab2b4acff01cd5a3639039fc813d3448c64db081f70926bd9b9e74e9

66¢
$1.8M$89K0.0

Iván Cepeda Castro

polymarket · 0x0fb006e0c06caa4db12f7e30ec8c2483d658f83eb57b2ee8eb478e39beca3dfd

34¢
$1.8M$104K0.0

Paloma Valencia

polymarket · 0xd6591e966aebf061547ef34cdf3494ed318969887c8b7fb53f10ed5d5461a547

3¢
$1.9M$112K0.0

Gustavo Bolívar (HC)

polymarket · 0x60084cd46b5b91797ad397f4c1ffb5d3fcec7c134b705d2796c0f571eedad3b7

0¢
$5.8M$1K—

Vicky Dávila (IND)

polymarket · 0x849a3e762977a9ad6b8e5f449ac7c8abb2756409a1b55759e00262e072bd81a7

0¢
$3.0M$3K—

Mauricio Cárdenas

polymarket · 0x0622b01925e56a091f248c42fb194d3b86d58165f6647d6bcb7afc6fb4638531

0¢
$2.5M$2K—

Sergio Fajardo (DC)

polymarket · 0x358a4c706ce29a1847d26244857c6272e5359a17aad079f5672c8fb40d50d66c

0¢
$1.9M$28K—

Luis Gilberto Murillo (CRB)

polymarket · 0xba75e6ba41372e351ed4755f183c1cdb082bd7cf6182a6d80dc445869c09de10

0¢
$1.9M$1K—

David Luna Sánchez (IND)

polymarket · 0xf63b20e72086547c789e93d744f811c20d9c0b14be0501599cd4c1c5853c9bd5

0¢
$1.8M$1K—

Germán Vargas Lleras (RC)

polymarket · 0x202af343a370924358b0397efd5b812affec245fd60a9f7bdcadc914b6179a3d

0¢
$1.8M$3K—

Juan Daniel Oviedo (IND)

polymarket · 0xe59f59145045f82f8408f1fc5041d33c2c2b1de8ffaf7a4c450c638f5b038079

0¢
$1.5M$1K—

Enrique Peñalosa

polymarket · 0xd8f77503edba0515f30d6c97da303e6d95f290ba52042d3553da5012df1c9fcb

0¢
$1.3M$1K—

Roy Barreras

polymarket · 0xd0282264ee769e9a77dc5e168cfe7966841955a4b3555485cfbddc6961198ae0

0¢
$1.2M$2K—

Claudia López (IND)

polymarket · 0x9714c7fe6abc381277370c4287f8b2d30dffddd040565266d0274e67028b5197

0¢
$1.2M$1K—

Juan Manuel Galán (NL)

polymarket · 0xb21bc2b511694c76f3ff6664836dd3561a916acf59b405b8f21f2ae8af7016fd

0¢
$769K$2K—

Carlos Felipe Córdoba

polymarket · 0xdedef5719a21db8c17a43b9a53558b0ef775f03a1f8efe16960929556b90e29a

0¢
$706K$2K—

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

Regime

neutral

Score

0.409

Observability

medium

Event type

political

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SimpleFunctions context

Index, screen, query, and monitor.

Open index

Prediction Market Index

Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.

Market Screener

Filter adjacent contracts by volume, expiry, IY, CRI, venue, and theme.

Event Probability API

Read 0% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.

Realtime Data API

Prices, orderbooks, movement, heat, and liquidity indicators across venues.

World State API

Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.

Hedging Workflows

Map a thesis or exposure to candidate event markets and monitoring paths.

How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.