Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Prediction markets currently give a 22% probability that Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?. This contract trades at 22¢ on Polymarket, closing June 21, 2026.
Resolution rules
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
Indicators
Regime
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sf trade 0xfbe85201ab2b4acff01cd5a3639039fc813d3448c64db081f70926bd9b9e74e9 yes 100