Will Denmark be Top 5?
This contract is priced at 66¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 67¢ bid, 68¢ ask, 1¢ spread.
Implied probability
Event outcomes
16
Family volume
$51K
Best sibling
Israel 38¢
Ticker
KXEUROVISIONRANK-26TOP5-DEN
Market snapshot
Denmark in market context.
This page tracks the Kalshi contract for Will Denmark be Top 5?. The displayed quote is 66¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports 24h volume of $11K. In the KXEUROVISIONRANK-26TOP5 family, this outcome ranks #3 of 16 by current quote across 16 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 11, 2026, 7:23 PM UTC.
Outcome
Denmark
Family rank
#3 of 16
Venue
Kalshi
Current quote
66¢
Quote source
Latest venue quote
Timing
Listed until May 17, 2026
24h volume
$11K
Family context
16 outcomes · KXEUROVISIONRANK-26TOP5
Quote range
1¢-88¢
Family leader
Finland 88¢
Last updated
May 11, 2026, 7:23 PM UTC · 4m ago
Venue identifier: KXEUROVISIONRANK-26TOP5-DEN. Family volume: $51K.
Price history
66¢ current
+35¢Orderbook snapshot
67 / 68¢
Contract terms
Resolution, venue, and identifiers.
Resolution rules
If Denmark finishes Top 5 at the Eurovision Song Contest 2026 Grand Final, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
May 17, 2026
Identifier
KXEUROVISIONRANK-26TOP5-DEN
Event family
KXEUROVISIONRANK-26TOP5.
This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.
Total volume
$51K
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Finland 88¢
Current share
21%
Denmark
kalshi · KXEUROVISIONRANK-26TOP5-DEN
Israel
kalshi · KXEUROVISIONRANK-26TOP5-ISR
France
kalshi · KXEUROVISIONRANK-26TOP5-FRA
Finland
kalshi · KXEUROVISIONRANK-26TOP5-FIN
Australia
kalshi · KXEUROVISIONRANK-26TOP5-AUS
Greece
kalshi · KXEUROVISIONRANK-26TOP5-GRE
Ukraine
kalshi · KXEUROVISIONRANK-26TOP5-UKR
Croatia
kalshi · KXEUROVISIONRANK-26TOP5-CRO
Sweden
kalshi · KXEUROVISIONRANK-26TOP5-SWE
Latvia
kalshi · KXEUROVISIONRANK-26TOP5-LAT
Malta
kalshi · KXEUROVISIONRANK-26TOP5-MAL
Albania
kalshi · KXEUROVISIONRANK-26TOP5-ALB
Romania
kalshi · KXEUROVISIONRANK-26TOP5-ROM
Bulgaria
kalshi · KXEUROVISIONRANK-26TOP5-BUL
Cyprus
kalshi · KXEUROVISIONRANK-26TOP5-CYP
Italy
kalshi · KXEUROVISIONRANK-26TOP5-ITA
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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SimpleFunctions context
Index, screen, query, and monitor.
Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
Filter adjacent contracts by volume, expiry, IY, CRI, venue, and theme.
Event Probability API
Read 66% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
Prices, orderbooks, movement, heat, and liquidity indicators across venues.
World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
Map a thesis or exposure to candidate event markets and monitoring paths.
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.